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The upbeat turn in financial markets overshadowed a growing sense among investors that recent asset price gains and optimism about a world recovery have been overdone.
"There's a floor in this market and it's probably at least 5% below the recent highs and there's still so much cash on the sidelines that when we see a selloff, there are retail investors and institutional investors ready to jump back in." said a Wall Street dealer.
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The Dow’s win streak appeared to be nearing an end as the bears pushed stocks sharply lower Thursday morning amid a 2% dive for crude oil. The losses were only temporary as oil and the markets soared back into the green.
The up-and-down trading day comes amid a particularly calm stretch for Wall Street as the markets barely reacted to new reports on jobless claims and gross domestic product. Underscoring the relative calm, the S&P 500 narrowly avoided closing with a change of 0.25% or less for the fourth day in a row, something that Miller Tabak's Dan Greenhaus said hasn't happened since February 2007.
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Thanks to a flurry of economic optimism, the Dow has now surged more than 3,000 points since hitting a 12-year low on March 9. But even some bulls question whether or not the markets have gotten ahead of an economy still facing heavy job losses and a weak housing market.
Today’s headlines are mostly positive, “but I am itching to sell here. I have reached most of my targets and am ready to pull the trigger,” Peter Kenny, managing director at Knight Capital Markets, wrote in a note before the market opened. “We are getting a correction 5%-10% within the month…You have to take some chips off the table due to the nature of the season we are in.”
Crude oil was at the center of Thursday's back-and-forth action as the commodity plunged below $70 a barrel before making a comeback, taking some of the pressure off energy stocks like Massey Energy and Consul Energy. Crude settled at $72.49 a barrel, down $1.06, or 1.48%.
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