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Tuesday, February 10, 2009

综合指数 2009年 02月 10日 / Composite Index 10/02/2009

综合指数 2009年 02月 10日
如图中箭头A所示,综合指数在布林频带(Bollinger Band)进一步打开48%的情形下再度上扬6.88点,成功的突破了900点的心理阻力关口,一度更上探905点的胜图自动费氏线阻力水平。综指当前的支持水平落在885至887点的胜图自动费氏线,阻力水平则是905点。
如图所示,综指依然是处于布林中频带(Bollinger Middle Band)以上,所以综指目前仍然是处于一个上扬的趋势里,直到布林频带开始收窄为止。另外当布林频带打开的幅度开始减低时,这则是综指开始出现技术调整的讯号,届时布林中频带将是综指技术调整的第一个目标。
如图中箭头B所示,成交量增加8.1%,这使到成交量已经超越了40天成交量移动平均线(VMA)的水平,这表示市场的交投量已经回到了一个健康及合理的水平,这对综指继续转强是有利的。
如图中C圈所示,平均乖离及其的振荡指标(MACD Histogram)再度回到了正值区域,这显示综指的中期及短期走势开始恢复动力,通常综指将有望保持上扬的趋势,直到振荡指标形成一个圆顶(Rounding Top)为止。
总的来说,由于布林频带继续打开,所以综指继续着上周的趋势,以技术分析来看的话,综指将有望维持目前的趋势,直到布林频带打开的幅度开始减低为止。
Composite Index Daily Technical Analysis 10/02/2009

As indicated by A, the KLCI Bollinger Bands Width continue to expand another 48%, with the KLCI remaining above the Bollinger Middle Band; and therefore, the KLCI continues its upside movement, breaking above the 900 psychological level. 905 Automatic Fibonacci Retracement is now the resistance, while 885 to 887 Automatic Fibonacci Retracement is the support.
As shown on the chart above, the KLCI is still above the Bollinger Middle Band, and the bullish biased movement of the KLCI is expected to continue until the Bollinger Bands Width contracts, which would suggest the next consolidation of the KLCI. Generally, the Bollinger Middle Band would be the first target of the consolidation or a technical correction.
As indicated by B, total market volume increased 8.1%, while staying above the 40-day VMA level. This shows that the market participation is now relatively sufficient, thus a positive sign for the KLCI performance.
As circled at C, the MACD histogram and the MACD line are now breaking above the zero level, suggesting that the KLCI is still improving. Nevertheless, as long as the MACD histogram is still on the rise, the improvement of the KLCI is expected to continue until the formation of a rounding top.
The immediate outlook for the KLCI is now on the positive side, and provided that the volume should remain above the 40-day VMA level, the short term positive outlook for the KLCI is expected to continue.
HAPPY INVESTING & GOODLUCK2ALL

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