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Saturday, February 7, 2009

综合指数 2009年 02月 06日 / Composite Index 06/02/2009

综合指数 2009年 02月 06日


如图中箭头A所示,综合指数上扬突破了布林中频带(Bollinger Middle Band),再加上布林频带(Bollinger Band)打开 27%,所以综指周五上扬16.69点,并且突破了887点的胜图自动费氏线阻力水平。综指接下来的阻力水平上调至900点的心理关口,支持水平则落在885点以及869点的胜图自动费氏线。
如图所示,布林频带开始明显的打开,所以综指出现了上扬的趋势,通常综指将有望继续的上扬,直到布林频带打开的目的开始减低或收窄为止。
如图中箭头B所示,成交量在综指上扬的带领下增加25.9%,使到成交量成功达到了40天成交量移动平均线(VMA)的水平,这对于综指上扬的趋势来说是一个好消息,因为有成交量承托的上扬趋势通常是意味着综指的趋势有望维持更长的时候。
如图中C圈所示,随机指标(Stochastic)继续上扬,并且突破了70%的水平,这显示综指的短期走势的有望继续的维持在上扬的格局,直到随机指标跌破70%为止。
总的来说,综指上扬的趋势分别获得布林频带及成交量的确认,所以只要没有外在因素影响的话,在技术上综指是处于一个短期上扬的格局中,直到布林频带开始收窄为止。



Composite Index Daily Technical Analysis 06/02/2009

As indicated by A, the KLCI broke above the Bollinger Middle Band, with the Bollinger Bands Width expanded 27%, the KLCI closed 16.69 points higher on Friday. In addition, the KLCI also broke above the 887 Automatic Fibonacci Retracement, and therefore, it is now set to test the 900 psychological resistance level. Supports for the KLCI is now 885 and 869 Fibonacci Retracement.
As shown on the chart above, the Bollinger Bands Width expanded, which ended the KLCI consolidation. With the KLCI above the Bollinger Middle Band, the immediate outlook for the KLCI is now bullish biased, and as long as the Bollinger Bands Width is still expanding, the positive movement of the KLCI is likely to sustain.
As indicated by B, total market volume increased 25.9%, and the volume is now touching the 40-day VMA level. This is a positive sign for the market as the market participation is now improving. If volume should sustain above the 40-day VMA level, the KLCI is likely to gain some strength.
As circled at C, the Stochastic continue to rise, breaking above 70% level, entering the short term bullish region. As long as the Stochastic could remain above70% level, the market movement for the short term is expected to be bullish biased.
In short, the expansion of the Bollinger Bands Width with the KLCI above the Bollinger Middle Band was supported with an increased of volume, which is a positive signal. Therefore, the upside biased movement of the KLCI is likely to continue until the Bollinger Bands Width contracts.


HAPPY INVESTING & GOODLUCK2ALL



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