




Updated commentaries & charts of FKLI, FCPO, FOREX & Bursa Stocks





Composite Index Daily Technical Analysis 19/02/2009
ngle would be a reliable signal for the new KLCI movement.

ession yesterday, the KLCI today will still be put in grave danger by the Dow bulls. The critical support band of the KLCI is pegged at the 890-900 level. Right now we are 8 points away from this level. Our only hope that the KLCI uptrend won’t be ruined today would be the marginally decreasing correlation between the Dow and the KLCI in the last
综合指数 2009年 02月 17日
三角形为止。
综合指数 2009年 02月 16日
Composite Index Daily Technical Analysis 16/02/2009
Dow Dragonfly unconfirmed
unconvincingly bearish.
综合指数 2009年 02月 13日如图中箭头B所示,马股总成交量大扬57.7%,使到成交量冲破了40天成交量移动平均线(VMA)的水平,这表示投资者在综指朝正面移动时再度入场,这显示投资者依然对综指短期走势抱着乐观的态度。
如图中C圈所示,随机指标(Stochastic)重新返回70%以上的水平,这表示综指避开了进一步转弱的风险。以技术分析来看,通常只要随机指标能继续的为止在70%以上的话,那综指的短期走势将有望继续维持在上扬的格局里。
总的来说,虽然国际市场继续的处于不稳定的状态,综指在调整了两日后再度上扬,由于受到足够成交量的确认,所以综指短期的后市有望
看高一线,直到随机指标跌破70% 止。Composite Index Daily Technical Analysis 13/02/2009
As shown on the chart above, the Bollinger Bands Width expanded 11%, with the KLCI above the Bollinger Middle Band; therefore, the immediate outlook for the KLCI is still on the positive side. As long as the Bollinger Bands Width is still expanding, more upside room for the KLCI is expected. If the Bollinger Bands Width should contract, it would be a signal suggesting another consolidation for the KLCI.
As indicated by B, total market volume increased 57.7% on Friday, breaking above the 40-day VMA level. This shows that the market is now actively participated, and if volume should maintain above the 40-day VMA level, there is a better chance for the KLCI to sustain its bullish biased movement.
As circled at C, the Stochastic returned to above 70% level, while the short term bullish signal remains intact. As long as the Stochastic is still above the 70% level, the market movement for the short term is still bullish biased.
To sum up, despite the weaker regional markets, the KLCI rallied with relatively strong volume. Therefore as long as the market should maintain active, the rally of the KLCI is likely to continue, until the Stochastic breaks below 70% level.
HAPPY INVESTING & GOODLUCK2ALL
综合指数 2009年 02月 12日如图所示,布林频带(Bollinger Band)打开的幅度进一步减低,所以综指目前依然是处于一个调整巩固的格局里,布林中频带(Bollinger Middle Band)则成为了综指当期的动态支持线,这也将是综指调整的第一个目标。
如图中箭头A所示,马股总成交量稍微上升8.4%,不过还是不至于达到40天成交量移动平均线(VMA)的水平,这是市场继续的处于淡静的讯号。通常若成交量处于40天平均值以下的话,那综指将倾向于横摆巩固或下跌的。
如图中C圈所示,随机指标(Stochastic)稍微跌破了70%的水平,这显示综指的短期走势继续有走软的迹象。换句话说,随机指标必须在短期内回弹并重新返回70%以上的水平,那综指才能避开形成一个短期下跌的趋势。
总的来说,综指目前仍然在一个短期调整的格局中,再加上国际市场动荡的局势,所以综指目前的跌幅在与其他股市比较之下显得小。一般上,在布林频带开始收窄或综指开始调整时,综指最好的调整莫过于横摆了。
Composite Index Daily Technical Analysis 12/02/2009
As indicated by A, the KLCI tested the 900 points on Thursday, but failed to break above the 900 mark, closing 0.3% lower. Support for the KLCI remain at 885 and 887 Automatic Fibonacci Retracement, and the resistance is 905 Automatic Fibonacci Retracement.
As shown on the chart above, the Bollinger Bands Width only expanded 3%. With its expansion rate slowing down, it seems like the KLCI is going to consolidate again, while the Bollinger Middle Band is the dynamic support for the KLCI, and also usually the first target of the correction.
As indicated by B, total market volume increased 8.4%, but still below the 40-day VMA level. This shows that the overall market is still lightly participated. If volume should remain below the 40-day VMA level, the KLCI is likely to consolidate with some downside biased.
As circled at C, the Stochastic breaks below 70% level by margin. If the Stochastic should continue to fall, it would end the short term bullish signal, which is also a signal suggesting a beginning of a technical correction.
In short, the KLCI is still at its consolidation stage. With negative sentiment across the globe, the market direction for the KLCI remains unclear. Generally, the best consolidation for the KLCI, during the contraction of the Bollinger Bands Width, would be a low volatile sideways movement.
综合指数 2009年 02月 11日
Composite Index Daily Technical Analysis 11/02/2009


Considering the rather precarious and tricky situation of the Dow which is hovering merely 6 points above its critical 7,882 support, there is no other choice but to adopt a wait-and-see stance. We are watching the Dow closely tonight to see if this critical