如图中箭头A所示，虽然富时综合指数上扬4.99点，以1509.88点闭市，不过综指却精确的在31天加权移动平均线（EMA）的水平闭市，这显示综指仍然未能完全摆脱EMA的阻力。无论如何，接下来若综指能上扬突破EMA，那综指将有望摆脱自1月来的跌势.
综指当前的支持水平是1498点，阻力水平则维持在1513点的费氏线。图中也显示综指一度下调至1498点的水平，所幸的是这是综指的费氏线支持水平，综指在获得扶持后成功的回弹。
如图中箭头B所示，马股成交量增加20.8%，虽然还未成功的到达40天成交量移动平均线（VMA）的水平，不过只要接下来成交量继续的增加并且达到40天平均值，这对综指转强的走势有利.
如图中箭头C所示，随机指标（Stochastic）周一继续上周，惟指标并未达到70%的水平，这表示综指的短期走势继续转强，不过还未确认短期上扬的趋势，直到指标成功上扬突破70%为止.
综指成功的上扬突破布林中频带，目前只受到31天EMA的阻碍，接下来若综指能成功的上扬突破此EMA，综指将能摆脱自1月来的下跌趋势，若成交量亦能增加至40天平均值以上，综指的后市将有望看高一线。
FBM KLCI 21 March 2011
As indicated by a, the KLCI rose 4.99 points to close at 1509.88 points, but it is still testing the 31-day EMA dynamic resistance. Thus the overall market outlook has not turned positive. Support for the KLCI is at 1498 while the immediate resistance is at 1513 WinChart Automatic Fibonacci Retracement.
As indicated by B, total market volume increased 20.8%, but volume is still below the 40-day Volume Moving Average. This shows that the market is still quiet despite the increased of volume. In short, the market is not likely to regain its strength, if volume should stay relatively low.
As indicated by C, the Stochastic is still rising, after breaking above 50%. If the Stochastic could break above 70%, it would be a short term bullish signal for the KLCI.
In conclusion, the KLCI is showing sign of a rebound, but is yet to test the 31-day EMA. If the KLCI could successfully break above this resistance, it would be breaking away from its downtrend since January. If volume could also increase and break above the 40-day Volume Moving Average, the market sentiment is expected to improve.
如图中箭头B所示，马股成交量增加20.8%，虽然还未成功的到达40天成交量移动平均线（VMA）的水平，不过只要接下来成交量继续的增加并且达到40天平均值，这对综指转强的走势有利.如图中箭头C所示，随机指标（Stochastic）周一继续上周，惟指标并未达到70%的水平，这表示综指的短期走势继续转强，不过还未确认短期上扬的趋势，直到指标成功上扬突破70%为止.
综指成功的上扬突破布林中频带，目前只受到31天EMA的阻碍，接下来若综指能成功的上扬突破此EMA，综指将能摆脱自1月来的下跌趋势，若成交量亦能增加至40天平均值以上，综指的后市将有望看高一线。
As indicated by a, the KLCI rose 4.99 points to close at 1509.88 points, but it is still testing the 31-day EMA dynamic resistance. Thus the overall market outlook has not turned positive. Support for the KLCI is at 1498 while the immediate resistance is at 1513 WinChart Automatic Fibonacci Retracement.
As indicated by B, total market volume increased 20.8%, but volume is still below the 40-day Volume Moving Average. This shows that the market is still quiet despite the increased of volume. In short, the market is not likely to regain its strength, if volume should stay relatively low.
In conclusion, the KLCI is showing sign of a rebound, but is yet to test the 31-day EMA. If the KLCI could successfully break above this resistance, it would be breaking away from its downtrend since January. If volume could also increase and break above the 40-day Volume Moving Average, the market sentiment is expected to improve.
HAPPY TRADING
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