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Monday, December 27, 2010

Technical Anjalysis : 综合指数 2010年12月27日 / FBMKLCIO 27/12/2010

综合指数 2010年 12月 27日
如图中箭头A所示,富时综合指数基本上横摆,综指只微扬0.14点,以1511.72点闭市,所以综指当前的阻力水平不变,仍然维持在1532点的费氏线,支持水平则是1500点的心理支持关口。


如图所示,综指目前仍然处于由T1及T2趋势线组成的三角形内,这意味着综指目前正处于一个调整巩固格局中,所以T1亦是综指当前的动态阻力线,T2则是支持水平。

如图所示,布林频带(Bollinger Bands)打开2%,不过打开的幅度不大,所以虽然综指已处于布林中频带以上了,综指仍然未出现上扬的走势。一般上,布林频带必须明显的打开,再加上综指保持在布林中频带以上,综指才能确认出现上扬的趋势。

如图中箭头B所示,马股成交量减少7.43%,所以成交量继续的低于40天成交量移动平均线(VMA),这显示市场交投减少,不过这在综指横摆巩固时是正常的现象。

如图中箭头C所示,随机指标(Stochastic)继续在稍微高于70%的水平横摆,这显示综指的短期走势正处于偏强的格局,不过由于布林频带还未明显的打开,所以综指的短期走势仍然未大举上扬。
总的来说,综指目前正处于一个三角形的巩固状态,通常综指将继续目前的走势,直到综指突破此三角形为止:若综指上扬突破T1的趋势线,综指将有望恢复上扬的走势,反之若综指跌破T2的支持线,综指将有形成跌势的风险。


FBM KLCI 27 December 2010
As indicated by A, the KLCI is basically still consolidating in a sideways manner, and on Monday, it gained 0.14 of a point to close at 1511.72 points. Therefore, resistance and support remains unchanged in 1532 and 1500 respectively.


As shown on the chart above, the KLCI is still consolidating within the T1 and T2 Triangular Pattern, and the consolidation is expected to stay intact until any break out. T1 line serves as the dynamic resistance while the T2 line is also another support.

Meanwhile, the Bollinger Bands expanded 2%, but this expansion is insignificant, and therefore, not valid for any signals consideration. Nevertheless, with the KLCI above the Bollinger Middle Band, the immediate technical outlook for the KLCI shall stay positive.

As indicated by B, total market volume fell 7.43%, with volume below the 40-day Volume Moving Average. This suggests that the market is relatively quiet. But it is usually normal to see lower trading volume when the market is moving sideways.

As indicated by C, the Stochastic remains above 70%, in the short term bullish territory. Therefore, the Stochastic is still suggesting a short term bullish biased movement for the KLCI.

In conclusion, the consolidation within the T1 and T2 triangular pattern of the KLCI
remains in place, until a valid break out above the T1 line or below the T2 line.
HAPPY TRADING

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