Technical Analysis : 综合指数 2010年12月08日 / FBMKLCI 08/12/2010

综合指数 2010年 12月 08日
如图中箭头A所示，富时综合指数上扬8.32点或0.55%，以1510.06点闭市，综指接下来的支持水平仍然维持在1500点的心理支持水平，阻力水平则是1525点及1532点的费氏线。

如图所示，布林频带（Bollinger Bands）打开14%，而由于综指仍然处于布林中频带以上，所以综指开始上扬，惟布林频带打开的幅度不大，所以综指上扬的幅度也略为小。无论如何，接下来只要综指继续的维持在布林中频带以上，那布林频带继续打开将意味着综指有望继续走高，直到布林频带打开的幅度减低或收窄为止。

图中箭头B所示，马股成交量在综指上扬的带领下也跟随增加20%，成交量开始接近40天成交量移动平均线（VMA），这表示投资者有开始回笼的迹象，惟成交量是必须达到40天平均值，综指才有望在足够的承接力量下稳健的走高。

如图中箭头C所示，随机指标（Stochastic）继续上扬，这表示综指目前仍然处于一个短期上扬的格局中，所以综指仍然有望继续的走高，直到随机指标跌破70%为止。

由于综指以处于14、21、31天加权移动平均线（EMA）以上，这意味着综指目前处于一个偏强的趋势中；基本上，只要综指一直保持在此EMA以上，综指的中长期走势将有继续转强的可能，直到综指跌破此EMA为止。

FBM KLCI 08 December 2010
As indicated by A, the FBM KLCI rose 8.32 points or 0.55% to close at 1510.06 points. Support for the KLCI remains at 1500 while the resistance is found at 1525 followed by 1532 WinChart Automatic Fibonacci Retracement.

As shown on the chart, the Bollinger Bands expanded 14%, with the KLCI above the Bollinger Middle Band, therefore, the Bollinger Bands is showing a positive signal for the KLCI. If the Bollinger Bands should continue to expand while the KLCI stays above the Bollinger Middle Band, more upside movement for the KLCI is likely.

As indicated by B, total market volume increased 20%, with volume getting closer to the 40-day volume moving average. If volume should pickup and break above the 40-day Volume Moving Average, the market sentiment in general is expected to improve.

As indicated by C, the Stochastic is still rising, while staying in the short term bullish territory. Therefore, this suggests that the short term movement of the KLCI is still positive, until the Stochastic should break below 70%.

Technical outlook for the KLCI remains positive as the Bollinger Bands is showing a slightly improving signal, and most of all, the KLCI is supported by the 14, 21, 31 EMA.

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