Technical Analysis : 综合指数 2010年12月03日/FBMKLCI 03/12/2010

综合指数 2010年 12月 03日
如图中箭头A所示，富时综合指数一度上扬至1508.41点，惟随后市场出现套利活动，这使到综指再度回软，按日微跌2.24点，以1500.98点闭市，综指精确的在1500点的心理支持水平获得扶持，这是综指接下来的支持水平，阻力水平则保持在1525点及1532点的费氏线。

如图所示，布林频带（Bollinger Bands）只稍微打开4%，从视觉上布林频带并未明显的打开，所以虽然综指以处于布林中频带以上，综指并未出现上扬的趋势。接下来若综指能继续的维持在布林中频带以上，而布林频带真正的明显打开，综指将有望恢复上扬的格局。

图中箭头B所示，马股成交量稍微下滑1.33%，所以成交量仍然低于40天成交量移动平均线（VMA）的水平，这意味着投资者依然选择观望的居多，仍然等待市场进一步明朗化，才决定是否再度入市。

如图中箭头C所示，随机指标（Stochastic）稍微下滑，所幸的是随机指标依然保持在70%以上的水平，这表示综指的短期走势仍然属于一个短期的上扬格局中，直到随机指标跌破70%为止。

虽然综指稍微回调，不过综指目前仍然成功的保持在布林中频带以及14、21、31天加权移动平均线（EMA）以上的水平，所以综指的走势仍然有望进一步的转强，直到综指跌破布林中频带以及EMA为止。

FBM KLCI 03 December 2010
As indicated by A, the FBM KLCI had an intra-day high reaching 1508.41 points, but profit taking pulled the KLCI lower, and at the close, the KLCI loss 2.24 points to close at 1500.98 points. Immediate support for the KLCI is still at 1500 while the resistance is at 1525 followed by 1532 WinChart Automatic Fibonacci Retracement.

As indicated by B, total market volume fell 1.33%, and still below the 40-day volume moving average. This suggests that the market is relatively quiet, and this also implies that the market confidence is low. Therefore, without sufficient market participation, the KLCI is less likely to pick up more strength.

As indicated by C, the Stochastic fell slightly, but still above 70%, thus this suggests that the short term movement of the KLCI is still on the on the positive side.

Despite the profit taking activities on Friday, the KLCI remains above the 14, 21, 31 EMA as well as the Bollinger Middle Band, thus the immediate technical outlook is still positive.

HAPPY WEEKEND