TECHNICAL ANALYSIS FBM KLCI > 2010年09月01日/ 01/09/2010

综合指数 2010年 09月 01日

如图中箭头A所示，富时综合指数进一步上扬，一度上探至1436点的费氏线，这是上周一直提到的阻力水平，所以精确的在此水平遇阻，这意味着1436点继续的成为综指当前的阻力水平，支持水平则保持在1400点的心理支持水平。

如图所示，布林频带（Bollinger Bands）打开3%，这表示虽然综指上扬的趋势继续的遇到一定的阻力，不过综指依然保持上扬的格局，一般上，只要布林频带继续打开，综指的后市将有望更上一层楼。

如图中箭头B所示，马股的成交量增加24.1%，这使到成交量再度突破40天成交量移动平均线（VMA）的水平，这意味着市场的交投量重新回到了活跃的水平，这增加的交投使到市场承接力量提升，将有助于综指继续走强。

如图中箭头C所示，随机指标（Stochastic）依然保持在70%以上，这是综指短期走势偏强的讯号，随机指标更陆续高于90%的水平，这是在综指短期走势强劲的讯号。一般上，综指将继续保持短期上扬的格局，直到随机指标跌破70%为止

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总的来说，综指有越战越勇的迹象，无论如何，综指精确的在1436点的费氏线遇阻，这表示综指仍然受到此阻力的阻碍，由于这是综指在2008年2月的头肩顶（Head and Shoulders）的右肩阻力水平，有一定的技术阻力。接下来，综指必须续获得布林中频带及14、21、31天加权移动平均线（EMA）的扶持，进而突破此阻力，综指才有望上探1500点的水平。

FBM KLCI 01/09/2010

Figure of arrow A shows the FBM KLCI rose higher, once the probe to the 1436 point Fibonacci Retracement which is referred to the resistance level last week. Difficult at this level, which means 1436 points, the KLCI continue to face headwinds into the current resistance level. The technical support remains at the psychological 1,400 points.

As shown, today's gain causes the Bollinger Bands to expand 3%, this means that although the upward trend continues the FBM KLCI encountered more resistance. But the pattern of the KLCI remains optimistic generally, as long as theprices stay above Mid BB and the Bollinger Bands continue to expand the KLCI's market outlook is expected to scale new heights.

Figure of arrow B show shares trading volume increased 24.1%, which makes another break above the 40 days volume moving average (VMA) level, which means that the market returned to the active level, to undertake additional efforts to enhance market trading so that will help the FBM KLCI continued strength.

Figure of arrow C shown in Stochastic remained above 70%, which is short-term trend KLCI stronger signal, random targets more than 90% level after another, this is a strong trend in the short term KLCI signal. Generally, the KLCI will continue to maintain the pattern of short-term upside until the Stoch falls below 70%.

Overall, the KLCI have overheating signs, in any case, the KLCI precise point is the 1436 Fibonacci Retracement, which means that the KLCI will be hampered by the said resistance.

Since this is the KLCI level in February 2008 the head and shoulder top (Head and Shoulders) of the right shoulder resistance level, there are some technical obstacles ahead.

Next, the KLCI continued to be well supported by the Mid BB and the Exponential Moving Averages 14,21,31 days weighted moving average (EMA) of support, and if can possibly break through the 1436 resistance, then KLCI is expected to attempt the 1500 point level probe.

HAPPY TRADING