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Wednesday, September 22, 2010

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS >>> 综合指数 2010年 09月 21日/ FBM KLCI 21/09/2010

综合指数 2010年 09月 21日
如图中箭头A所示,富时综合指数一度上扬,惟再度的在1479.59点的水平遇阻,综指全日稍微上扬6.30点,以1475.99点闭市,综指当前的阻力依然是1500点的心理阻力关口,支持水平则是1436及1424点的费氏线。

如图所示,布林频带(Bollinger Bands)打开7%,而综指又继续的处于布林中频带(Bollinger Middle Band)以上,使到综指再度的上扬,以布林频带来看,综指将继续保持偏强目前的走势,直到综指跌破布林中频带为止。

如图中箭头B所示,马股的成交量增长23.4%,所以成交量成功的处于40天成交量成交量移动平均线(VMA)以上,这表示马股整体市场相当活跃,这活跃的交投量将有助于综指继续转强。

如图中箭头C所示,随机指标(Stochastic)上扬,使到随机指标自8月13日以来一直保持在70%以上的水平,这显示综指一直都处于一个短期上扬的格局。这也意味着综指将保持在短期的涨势,直到随机指标跌破70%为止。

总的来说,综指保持在布林中频带以上,再加上随机指标高于70%,所以综指属于上扬的格局,惟布林频带打开的幅度不大,所以综指上扬的幅度亦比较小。另一方面,综指的中长期走势仍然获得14、21、31天加权移动平均线(EMA)的扶持,所以仍然属于上扬的格局,直到综指跌破此EMA为止。

FBM KLCI 21/09/2010
As indicated by A, the FBM KLCI rebounded on Tuesday, but still resisted by the 1479.59 level, gainig 6.30 points to close at 1475.99 point.
Resistance for the KLCI remains at 1500 while the support is at 1436 followed by 1424 WinChart Automatic Fibonacci Retracement.
As shown on the chart above, the Bollinger Bands expanded 7%, with the KLCI above the Bollinger Middle Band, thus the immediate technical outlook for the KLCI is still bullish biased. If the Bollinger Bands should continue to expand with the KLCI above the Bollinger Middle Band, more upside movement is expected for the KLCI.
As indicated by B, total market volume increased 23.4%, with volume above the 40-day VMA level, suggesting that the market is well-participated. Basically, if volume should stay above the 40-day VMA level, the market sentiment as a whole is likely to be positive.

As indicated by C, the Stochastic is still above 70%, in the short term bullish region, since 13th of March. This suggests that the short term movement of the KLCI is still bullish biased, until the Stochastic should break below 70% level.
In conclusion, the uptrend of the KLCI remains unaffected, while the 14, 21, 31 EMA is still serving as a long term dynamic support for the KLCI, despite the KLCI upside volatility of the KLCI is slightly reduced.
HAPPY TRADING

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