TECHNICAL ANALYSIS : 综合指数 2011年04月07日 / FBMKLCI 07/04/2011

综合指数 2011年 04月 07日
如图中箭头A所示，富时大马综合指数（综指）周四上扬9.04点或0.58%，图中所示的14、21、31天（Exponential Moving Average - EMA）依然是综指当前的动态支持线，阻力水平则是1577点的历史新高水平.

 另一方面，布林频带（Bollinger Bands）周四稍微打开2%。接下来若布林频带能继续打开，而综指亦能保持在布林中频带以上，那便表示综指走势继续偏强。

如图中箭头B所示，马股综指成交量周四稍微增加0.19%，同时维持在40天的成交量平均线以上。这表示马股整体上的交投还算是活跃的。不过，要是综指要突破1577点的新高水平，那则需要更大的成交量来扶持。

如图中箭头C所示，随机指标（Stochastic）继续维持在70%水平以上，这是综指短期强势的讯号，表示综指短期的走势还是偏强的，直到随机指标跌破70%水平为止。

总的来说，由于继续获得14、21、31天动态支持线的扶持，因此当前走势依然是偏强的。接下来若综指再次上扬的话，那表示盘整格局已经结束，而综指即将要试探1577点的历史新高水平。

FBM KLCI 07 April 2011
As indicated by A, the KLCI gained 9.04 points or 0.58%, and the 14, 21, 31 EMA is still serving as the dynamic supply to the KLCI, while the resistance is at 1577 WinChart Automatic Fibonacci Retracement.

Meanwhile, the Bollinger Bands expanded 2%, with the KLCI above the Bollinger Middle Band. The technical outlook for the KLCI is on the positive side. If the Bollinger Bands should continue to expand, while the KLCI stays above the Bollinger Middle Band, more upside volatility for the KLCI is expected.

As indicated by B, total market volume increased 0.19%, with volume above the 40-day Volume Moving Average. This suggests that the market is still actively participated. However, if the KLCI were to break above the 1577 resistance, more volume is needed.

As indicated by C, the Stochastic remains above 70%, in the short term bullish territory. This suggests that the short term movement of the KLCI is still strong.

In conclusion, since the KLCI is still staying above the rising 14, 21, 31 EMA, and if the KLCI should continue rising, it means that the consolidation is over, and the KLCI will be testing the 1577 resistance.

HAPPY TRADING