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Saturday, October 22, 2011

Technical Analysis : 综合指数 2011年 10月 21日 FBMKLCI 21/10/2011

综合指数 2011年 10 21
虽然富时综合指数闭市前一度下挫至1371.18点,不过综指迅速回弹,最终以1438.83点闭市,按日微跌2.35点或0.16%。如图所示,综指目前的阻力水平依然是1453点的费氏线,支持水平则维持在1400点的整数心理水平以及14、21、31天EMA(约1420点)。

如图中箭头A所示,综指虽然一度暴跌,不过综指在闭市时精确的在布林中频带(Bollinger Middle Band)获得扶持,这是综指当前的动态支持线,一般上只要综指能在此支持线获得支持,综指上扬的趋势将能维持下去,反之亦然。

如图中箭头B所示,马股总成交量稍微减少4.26%,惟成交量仍然处于40天的成交量平均线(VMA)以上,这显示马股整体交投仍然活跃,这对综指转强有正面的作用。
随机指标(Stochastic)稍微回弹,这使到指标重新回到70%以上了(参考箭头C),这表示综指的短期上扬趋势仍然完整,直到随机指标真正跌破70%为止。

总的来说,综指正在尝试筑底,若成功的话,综指将有望再度回弹,形成较高底,那综指将有望恢复上扬的趋势,不过若要综指摆脱熊市的窘境,综指得上扬突破目前正处于1514点的200天移动平均线(MA)阻力。

FBM KLCI 21 Oct 2011
Although near the close,the bluechips index fell to 1371.18 points, the KLCI rebounded quickly, eventually closing at 1438.83 points, edging down 2.35 points, or 0.16% loss. As shown, the KLCI is still resisted by the current level of 1453 points at 50% FR. Support levels are maintained at the psychological level of 1400 points and the dynamic 14,21,31 days EMA (about 1420 points).

The arrow shown in Figure A, although the KLCI tumbled, but rebounded at closing time accurately above the Bollinger Middle Band to obtain support, which is the current dynamic KLCI support line, generally as long as this support line can be hold out, the KLCI upward trend will continue, and vice versa.
 
As shown in Figure B, VMA shares of the total volume slightly decreased 4.26%, but volume is still above the 40-day average trading volume (VMA) above, which show horse trading stocks as a whole is still active, which can be interpreted as a strong positive effect. 

Random indicators (Stochastic) slightly rebound, so indicated that more than 70% of the return (see arrow C), which means that short-term rise in the KLCI trend remains intact until truly random index fell below 70% thus far.
 
Overall, the KLCI is trying to bottom, if successful, the KLCI is expected to rebound again to form higher highs and that the KLCI is expected to resume it's upward trend, but for the bear to get rid of the predicament of the KLCI, integrated refers to the break up point now is 1514 the 200-day moving average (MA) resistance.

HAPPY TRADING 

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