ZLBT Chats

Tuesday, November 9, 2010

Technical Analysis : 综合指数 2010年11月09日/FBMKLCI 09/11/2010

综合指数 2010年 11月 09日
如图中箭头A所示,富时综合指数上扬6.69点,并且突破了1525点的费氏线,并且创下了历史新高,以1526.53点闭市。由于综指刚突破1525点的费氏线,所以1525点暂时成为综指当前的支持水平。


如图所示,布林频带(Bollinger Bands)再度打开15%,而综指又成功的处于布林中频带以上,所以综指进一步上扬,以技术而言,综指将有望继续的走高,直到布林频带打开的幅度减低为止。

如图中箭头B所示,马股的总成交量与综指同步上扬,增加了8.11%,继续的处于40天成交量移动平均线(VMA)以上,这显示市场的交投活跃,有足够的承接力量维持综指继续转强。

如图中C圈所示,平均乖离(MACD)上扬突破触发线,所以平均乖离的振荡指标(Histogram)亦开始上扬突破零轴进入正值区域,这显示综指的中短期走势继续转强,直到振荡指标形成圆顶为止。

总的来说,综指创下新高使到综指进入新的里程碑,不过由于突破的幅度不大,所以综指仍然有受到1525点阻力的可能,这要看接下来投资者是否继续对市场乐观;以技术而言,只要综指继续收高于1525点,在加上成交量持续的保持在40天平均值以上,那综指有望继续转强,更上一层楼。

FBM KLCI 09 November 2010
As indicated by A, the KLCI rose 6.69 points, breaking above the 1525 resistance by margin, and marked a historical new high of 1526.53 points. Technically, the immediate support for the KLCI is at 1525, and the break out is too closed to call, thus yet to be confirmed.


As shown on the chart, the Bollinger Bands expanded 15%, with the KLCI above the Bollinger Middle Band, thus the immediate technical outlook for the KLCI remains bullish bias.

As indicated by B, total market volume increased 8.11%, with volume firmly above the 40-day volume moving average. This suggests that the market is still actively participated, and generally, the market sentiment is likely to stay positive with volume above the 40-day volume moving average.

As indicated by C, the MACD breaks above the trigger line, thus showing a bullish signal, and as a result, the MACD histogram ticked up above the zero level, and if the MACD histogram is still rising, it suggests that the KLCI is still picking up strength, until the MACD histogram should form a Rounding Top.

In short, the break out of the KLCI above 1525 was insignificant, but nevertheless, it still marks an all time new high. Uptrend for the KLCI remains intact as the 14, 21, 31 EMA is still firmly supporting the KLCI uptrend.
HAPPY TRADING

No comments:

Post a Comment