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Tuesday, October 26, 2010

Technical Analysis : 综合指数 2010年10月26日/FBM KLCI 26/10/2010

综合指数 2010年 10月 26日
如图中箭头A所示,富时综合指数上扬5.5点,以1496.94点闭市,综指当前的阻力水平仍然是1500点的心理阻力关口,支持水平亦保持在1480点的费氏线。


如图所示,布林频带(Bollinger Bands)开始打开9%,这暗示布林频带有继续打开的可能,另一方面,由于综指以处于布林中频带以上了,所以接下来只要布林频带继续打开,综指将有望继续上扬,直到布林频带打开的幅度减少或收窄为止。

如图中箭头B所示,马股成交量增加21.6%,这使到成交量继续的保持在40天成交量移动平均线(VMA)以上,这显示马股整体市场的交易量充足,这将有助于综指继续保持转强的走势。


如图中箭头C所示,随机指标(Stochastic)上扬突破70%的水平,这显示综指的短期走势开始进入上扬的格局,以技术而言,综指的短期走势将继续保持在一个上扬的趋势,直到随机指标跌破70%为止。

总的来说,布林频带有开始打开的迹象,而综指目前则已处于布林中频带以上,这显示综指酝酿的很可能是一个上扬的趋势,所以接下来只要布林频带继续打开,而综指又能维持在布林中频带以上,综指重新恢复上扬趋势的机会浓厚。


FBM KLCI 26 October 2010
As indicated by A, the FBM KLCI rose 5.5 points to close at 1496.94 points. Resistance for the KLCI is still at 1500 level while the support is at 1480 level.

Meanwhile, the Bollinger Bands expanded 9%, with the KLCI above the Bollinger Middle Band, thus the Bollinger Bands is showing an improvement signal. If the Bollinger Bands should continue to expand, while the KLCI above the Bollinger Middle Band, more upside movement is likely for the KLCI.

As indicated by B, total market volume increased 21.6%, with volume above the 40-day volume moving average. Overall, market is well-participated, thus the market sentiment is likely to stay positive.

As indicated by C, the Stochastic breaks above 70%, re-entering the short term bullish region. Therefore, the Stochastic is now showing a short term bullish signal.

In short, the KLCI is showing some sign of picking up some strength, and if the KLCI could break above the 1500 level, it would break away from its consolidation and continue its uptrend movement.

HAPPY TRADING

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