Technical Analysis : 综合指数 2011年02月8日 / FBMKLCI 08/02/2011

 综合指数 2011年 02月 8日

富时综合指数以1536.55点闭市，按日上扬3.95点或0.26%，综指当前的支持水平保持在1537.63点的38.2%的费氏线，阻力水平则是1552.66点的费氏线。如图中箭头B所示，虽然马股总成交量减少1.86%，不过成交量仍然处于40天成交量移动平均线（VMA）以上，这显示市场相当活跃，市场的承接力量继续的高扯，这将有助于综指维持转强的走势。

如图所示，布林频带（Bolllinger Bands）收窄20%，这显示综指继续技术回弹的走势，而综指重新回到布林中频带以上显示综指有望完全摆脱下跌的趋势。接下来若布林频带继续的收窄综指将进入巩固的走势，而综指将继续保持在巩固的格局，直到布林频带出现打开为止，综指的新趋势将取决于综指届时的相应位置。

如图中箭头C所示，随机指标（Stochastic）上扬突破50%的水平，这显示综指的短期走势继续转强，接下来若随机指标上扬突破70%的水平，综指将有望恢复短期上扬的格局。

虽然综指以处于布林中频带以上，惟布林频带仍然收窄，所以综指并未出现上扬的趋势，无论如何，综指已成功的上扬至14、21、31天加权移动平均线（EMA）以上，这对综指长期走势来说是有着正面的作用，因为只要综指能继续的保持在EMA以及布林中频带以上，综指恢复上扬格局的机会浓厚。

FBM KLCI 08 February 2011

 On Tuesday, the KLCI gained 3.95 points or 0.26%, closing at 1539.55 points. Support for the KLCI is at 1537.63 WinChart Automatic Fibonacci Retracement while the resistance is at 1552.66 WinChart Automatic Fibonacci Retracement.

As shown on the chart above, the Bollinger Bands contracted 20%, with the KLCI above the Bollinger Middle Band. The contraction of the Bollinger Bands suggests that the KLCI is still consolidating, but the immediate technical outlook is turning slightly positive as the KLCI breaks above the Bollinger Middle Band.

 

 As indicated by B, total market volume fell 1.86%, but still above the 40-day Volume Moving Average. This shows that the market is actively participated, and if volume should remain high, it implies that the market sentiment is still positive.

As indicated by C, the Stochastic breaks above 50%, and this suggests that the short term technical rebound of the KLCI is still intact. If the Stochastic should break above 70%, it would be a short term bullish signal for the KLCI.

In conclusion, the technical outlook is turning slightly better, as the KLCI is breaking above the Bollinger Middle Band, and also the 14, 21, 31 EMA. If the KLCI should continue to stay above the 14, 21, 31 EMA, the KLCI could have a chance to resume its long term uptrend.

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