As indicated by A, the FBM KLCI returned to above the 14, 21, 31 EMA, gaining 11.56 points or 0.79% to close at 1477.78 on Monday. The KLCI also formed higher-lows, thus forming the L1 uptrend line and the immediate technical outlook for the KLCI is positive. Resistance for the KLCI is still at 1500 point as well as the 200-day Moving Average.
As indicated by B, despite the KLCI gaining over 10 points, total market volume fell 10.54%, with volume below the 40-day volume moving average, while losers out-numbered winners. This suggests that the KLCI was only lifted by some heavy weighted blue chips, and the improvement is not broad base.
As indicated by C, the Stochastic breaks above 70%, entering the short term bullish territory. If the Stochastic could continue to stay above 70%, the short term movement of the KLCI is expected to be positive.
In conclusion, the KLCI is forming the L1 uptrend line, with its immediate technical outlook turning positive. However, in order to sustain this uptrend, the KLCI must break above its 1500 resistance. If the KLCI could break out above 1500, with strong volume, more upside room for the KLCI is likely.
综合指数 2011年 12月 19日
如图中箭头A所示，富时大马综合指数（综指）周一重返14、21、31天综合加权移动平均线（Exponential Moving Average – EMA）以上，按日上扬11.56点或0.79%，1477.78点挂收。综指同时形成较高底（Higher-lows）的特征，于是形成了L1的上升趋势线。接下来若综指能继续维持在L1线或14、21、31天EMA上，那综指的技术展望将恢复到正面的。综指阻力水平依然是1500点及200天的移动平均线。
如图中箭头B所示，综指虽然周一虽然上扬，但是马股总成交量却减少10.54%，并且处于40天的成交量平均线（VMA）以下,再加上马股周一下跌的股项多过上升股项，这表示综指只是因为一些重量级蓝筹股项的带动而上扬，但是马股整体上的交投并未全面性的增加，这表示投资者对马股的信心还未完整恢复。
如图中箭头C所示，随机指标（Stochastic）周一上扬突破70%水平，进入了短期强势区域里。接下来若随机指标能继续维持在70%水平以上，那综指短期的走势将会是偏强的。
总的来说，虽然综指周一上扬超过10点，并形成L1的上升趋势线，不过综指能否延续上扬格局，仍然要看综指接下来能否突破1500点的大关。无论如何，综指当前的技术展望是处于正面的，若综指能突破1500点阻力水平，再配合马股总成交量明显增加并保持在40天的成交量平均线以上的话，那综指届时后市将有望看高一线。
祝你好运
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