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Saturday, December 3, 2011

Technical Analysis : FBMKLCI 02/12/2011 / 综合指数 2011年12月02日

FBM KLCI 02/12/2011
As indicated by A, the KLCI rose 3.76 points or 0.25% on Friday, but still below the 1500 psychological resistance. Coincidentally, the 200 day Moving Average is now also at 1500 level, thus making this resistance an important one. Support for the KLCI remains at 1428 Fibonacci.

As indicated by B, total market volume increased 2.79 %, with volume above the 40-day volume moving average. Generally, when volume is above the 40-day volume moving average, it suggests that the market is relatively well-participated, thus likely to improve the market sentiment.

As indicated by C, the Stochastic is still above 70%, in the short term bullish territory. This suggests that the short term movement of the KLCI is still positive.

In conclusion, with the KLCI above the 14, 21, 31 EMA, the technical outlook for the KLCI is now positive. However, the KLCI is not yet returning to its uptrend, for it has yet to break above the 1500 resistance. This means that KLCI is basically still in its consolidation stage.

综合指数 2011年 12 02
如图中箭头啊所示,富时大马综合指数(综指)周五虽然上扬3.76点或0.25%,但是始终未能突破1500点的整数心理阻力水平。另外,1500点的水平,也恰好和200天的移动平均线重叠,因此综指阻力水平培增,使得1500点为重要的阻力水平。综指支持水平保持在1428点的费氏线。

如图中箭头B所示,马股总成交量周五增加2.79%,这使到成交量继续维持在40天的成交量平均线(VMA)以上。一般来说,若马股成交量能维持40天的成交量平均线以上的话,那表示整体上的交投是属于活跃的,而将有助于改善马股的投资气氛。

如图中箭头C所示,随机指标(Stochastic)在周五还是处于70%水平以上的短期强势区域里。这表示综指短期的走势是偏强的,直到随机指标失守70%水平为止。

总的来说,由于综指还是处于14、21、31天EMA以上,所以综指当前的技术展望是处于正面的。不过,综指却还未能恢复上扬格局,这是因为综指还未能突破1500点阻力水平。因此,综指当前仍然处于盘整格局中。

祝你好运

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