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Thursday, December 15, 2011

Technical Analysis : 综合指数 2011年 12月 15日 FBMKLCI 15/12/2011

综合指数 2011年 12 15
如图中箭头A所示,富时大马综合指数(综指)周四一度下跌至1448.54点的全日最低点(盘中下跌14.58点),但是在蓝筹股如CIMB,UMWIOI的带动之下,使得综指缓缓的回弹,并且已1464.11点挂收,微扬0.99%。综指阻力水平依然是1500点及200天的移动平均线,支持水平则是1430点的水平。

如图中箭头B所示,马股总成交量周四虽然增加4.67%,但是依然处于40天的成交量平均线(VMA)以下。这表示马股当前的交投还是属于淡静的,同时暗示着投资者对马股还未恢复信心。

如图中箭头C所示,随机指标(Stochastic)周四回弹,并稍微突破30%水平。若随机指标能在50%水平之间徘徊的话,那表示综指短期的走势将会是进入低幅度的横摆盘整格局。

总的来说,综指继续在1430点至1500点的区域范围内盘整,目前还未形成涨势或跌势。但是综指长期的走势,却还是处于熊市格局里,直到综指成功上扬突破200天移动平均线为止.

FBM KLCI 15 Dec 2011
Arrow A shown in Figure FTSE Malaysia Composite Index (KLCI) fell to 1448.54 points Thursday intraday lowest point (session down 14.58 points), but blue chips such as CIMB, UMW and IOI drove the rebound, making the KLCI resilient to close at 1464.11 points giving the KLCI a 0.99 point  microgain. The KLCI is still facing a hardy 1,500 points resistance level together with the SMA 200. Support  is seen 1430 points.

The arrow shown in Figure B, market shares of the total volume increase by 4.67% on Thursday though, but still below the 40-day average trading volume (VMA). This means that the current trading activities are a little quiet, while suggesting that investors have not yet restored full confidence in the KLSE.

The arrow shown in Figure C, the Stochastic on Thursday rebounded, and slightly exceeded the 30% level. If the Stochastic keeps hovering between 30% & 50% level, then the short-term trend of the KLCI can be considered as a low rate horizontal consolidation pattern.
 
Overall, the KLCI  remain within 1430 points to 1500 points - the area of correction, and have yet to rally or decline. However, the KLCI long-term trend is still fluctuating within a bear market pattern until the Composite Index should rise and overcome the 1500 mark or the SMA 200 Resistance.

HAPPY TRADING 

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