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Thursday, November 10, 2011

Technical Analysis : FBMKLCI 10/11/2011 综合指数 2011年 11月 10日

FBM KLCI 10 Nov 2011
On Thursday, the KLCI fell 16.99 points or 1.14% to close at 1472.65 points, due to the overnight severe loss of the US markets. As indicated by A, the KLCI is still staying above the 14, 21, 31 EMA dynamic support, thus suggesting that the short term uptrend is still intact. Resistance for the KLCI remains at 1487 while the support is at 1453, other than the 14, 21, 31 EMA.

As indicated by B, total market volume fell only 1.26%, with volume still high above the 40-day volume moving average. This suggests that the market is still active participated, however, due to the falling of the KLCI on Thursday, the strong volume actually might imply that the selling pressure is high.

As indicated by C, the Stochastic fell below 70%, which is a signal suggesting that the short term bullish signal has ended. Also, it is a signal suggesting a beginning of a technical correction. If the Stochastic should fall below 30%, it would be a short term bearish signal for the KLCI.

In conclusion, the short term uptrend of the KLCI is still intact, and as long as the KLCI is still above the 14, 21, 31 EMA, the technical outlook is still positive.

综合指数 2011年 11 10
富时大马综合指数(综指)周四因隔夜美股大幅度下挫而下跌16.99点或1.14%,以1472.65点挂收。不过如图中箭头A所示,综指依然获得14、21、31天综合加权移动平均线(Exponential Moving Average – EMA)动态支持线的扶持,因此短期涨势的格局还未受到破坏。综指阻力水平目前依然是1487点的费氏线,支持水平除了是14、21、31天EMA以外就是1453点的费氏线。

如图中箭头B所示,马股总成交量周四只减少1.26%,因此依然远远处于40天的成交量平均线(VMA)以上。这表示马股目前的交投还是很活跃的。不过,由于综指周四下跌超过1%,配合成交量继续偏高,这反而暗示着马股周四的卖压是偏强的。

如图中箭头C所示,随机指标(Stochastic)跌破了70%水平,因此综指短期强势的讯号已告一段落,同时也是综指短期技术调整开始的讯号。若随机指标跌破30%水平,那便是进入短期弱势区域的讯号。

总的来说,综指短期依然处于涨势中,而只要综指还是获得14、21、31天EMA动态支持线扶持的话,那综指目前的技术展望将继续是偏强的。

祝你好运

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