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Saturday, November 5, 2011

Technical Analysis : 综合指数 2011年 11月 04日 FBMKLCI 04/11/2011

综合指数 2011年 11 04
 如图中箭头A所示,富时综合指数在1453.81点的费氏线与142131天加权移动平均线(EMA)获得扶持后回弹,综指周五以1477.51点闭市,按日上扬15.14点或1.04%EMA接下来将是综指的一道重要的动态支持线,只要综指能在EMA以上,综指继续转强上扬的机会高。

另一方面,综指目前仍然处于布林中频带以上,所以综指自105日来的上扬讯号仍然完整,直到综指跌破布林中频带为止。

如图中箭头B所示,马股总成交量增加19%,远远的高于40天成交量平均移动线(VMA),这显示马股市场的交投会活跃,承接力量也相应的提高,通常这是对综指继续转强有利。

如图中箭头C所示,随机指标(Stochastic)继续保持在70%以上,所以综指的短期上扬趋势讯号不变,直到随机指标跌破70%为止。

总的来说,综指在稍微下退之后,在支持线上寻获支撑点后回弹,这显示综指继续的形成较高底,这是上扬趋势的典型状态。无论如何,综指目前仍然处于200天移动平均线以下,所以长期走势能否完全转强仍然有待指数的进一步演变。

FBM KLCI 04 Nov 2011
The arrow shown in Figure A, the FBMKLCI will be depending on the EMA 14, 21, 31days (exponential moving average) to obtain support after the rebound on Friday, the KLCI closed on Friday @ 1477.51 points; on a daily basis rose 15.14 points, or 1.04%. The EMA of the KLCI would follow the dynamics of an important support trio of lines, hovering above the EMA, the KLCI rose to claim a stronger opportunity to continue higher.

On the other hand, the KLCI is still at the Bollinger band, so the composite index from October 5 to the rise in the signal remains intact until the KLCI fell below the Bollinger band thus far.
 
The arrow shown in Figure B, trading volume rose 19% of total turnover, far above 40-day volume moving average line (VMA), which show stock market horse trading will be active, to undertake a corresponding increase in strength. Usually the strengthening of the volume should continued to be favorable to the upside of the index.
 
The arrow shown in Figure C, a random index (Stochastic) maintained at 70% or more, so the short-term upward trend in the KLCI signal remains unchanged, until the Stochastic should fell below 70%.

Overall, the KLCI ended lower for the week, although the anchor found the supporting lines for a closing week rebound, indicating the formation of the higher highs of the KLCI to continue this upward trend is typical of the present state of affairs. In any case, the KLCI is still above the 200-day moving average line, so a stronger long-term trend remains intact to enhance the further evolution of the index.

HAPPY TRADING 

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