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Thursday, November 3, 2011

Technical Analysis : FBMKLCI 03/11/2011 综合指数 2011年 11月 03日

FBM KLCI 03 Nov 2011
As indicated by A, the FBM KLCI had its intraday low touching 1452.37 points, but the KLCI still managed to find its support at 1453 fibonacci as well as the 14, 21, 31 EMA dynamic support, closing the day at 1462.37 points, fell 8.58 points or 0.58%.

As indicated by B, total market volume increased 12.15%, with volume still highly above the 40-day volume moving average. On one hand, this suggests that the market is still actively participated, and on the other hand, the higher volume which associated with the falling of the KLCI might imply some increased of selling pressure.

As indicated by C, the Stochastic is still falling, but still not yet breaking below 70%, thus the short term bullish signal is still intact. If the Stochastic should fall below 70%, it would also mark a beginning of a short term technical correction.

In conclusion, the short term uptrend of the KLCI is still intact, and if the KLCI should break below the 14, 21, 31 EMA, it might violated the short term uptrend, and the KLCI could consolidate. Nevertheless, resistance for the KLCI remains at 1487 Fibonacci.

 综合指数 2011年 11 03
如图中箭头A所示,富时大马综合指数(综指)周四一度下滑至1452.37点的全日最低点,惟精确的在1453点及142131天综合加权移动平均线(Exponential Moving Average – EMA)动态支持线找到扶持,全日以1462.37点挂收,下跌8.58点或0.58%

如图中箭头B所示,马股总成交量增加12.15%,因此维持在40天的成交量平均线(VMA)以上。虽说成交量能维持在40天的成交量平均线以上,一般上表示马股交投整体上还是属于活跃的,同时有利于维持马股当前正在改善的投资气氛。然而,若综指下跌时成交量放大的话,那也暗示着当日卖压的增加。

如图中箭头C所示,随机指标(Stochastic)周四继续的下滑,不过却还未跌破70%水平。因此综指短期强势讯号至今仍然是有效的。若随机指标跌破70%水平,那也是综指短期技术调整开始的讯号。

总的来说,综指当前的短期涨势仍然是完整的,除非综指接下来失守142131EMA的动态支持线,那么综指短期涨势将受到破坏,届时将再次进入盘整格局。无论如何,综指阻力水平依然

祝你好运

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