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Thursday, November 1, 2012

Technical Analysis : FBMKLCI 2012-11-01 / 富时大马综合指数 2012-11-01

FBM KLCI 1st Nov 2012
On Thursday, the KLCI had its early gain, but as it was approaching 1680, it attracted profit takings, which pulled the index lower, wiping out its early gains, and the KLCI was trading at red. However, at the trading-at-last session, price of CIMB jumped 5 bids, which lifted the KLCI back to its positive territory, closing at 1675.69 points, with a gain of 2.62 points. As indicated by A, the KLCI is still above its 1668 support as well as the 14, 21, 31 EMA dynamic support, while the temporary resistance is still at 1680 level.
 
As indicated by B, total market volume increased 5.97%, suggesting that the market was indeed active. Actually, if the KLCI was not lifted by heavy weighted blue chips, the increased of volume would be showing a little divergence signal. Nevertheless, overall selling pressure was a little stronger than buying interests.
 
As indicated by C, the Stochastic stays above 70%, in its short-term bullish territory, thus suggesting that the short-term movement of the KLCI is still positive.
 
In conclusion, with the KLCI above 1668, we can't see any weakening signals for now. The only concern would be the slightly higher selling pressure, but on pure technical reading, the technical outlook of the KLCI remains positive.
 
富时大马综合指数 2012-11-01
综指后四在开市后曾一度上扬,但在接近1680点时便引来套利的活动,使得综指顿时回退,甚至盘中陷入下跌的格局,惟在最后交易时段因联昌集团股价连跳5个价位,使得综指重返正直区域,按日上扬2.62点,挂1675.69点。如图中箭头A所示,综指成功的维持在1668点与142131EMA动态支持线以上。目前的阻力还是落在1680点的水平。
 
如图中箭头B所示,马股总成交量稍微增加了5.97%,市场交投的确活跃。其实,若非综指在最后一刻被重量级蓝筹股项推动的话,周四偏高的成交量就不能与指数上扬汇合,届时便有了背驰的讯号。无论如何,市场目前的卖压还是偏高的。
 
如图中箭头C所示,随机指标(Stochastic)继续维持在70%水平以上的短期强势区域里,暂时未发出任何转弱的讯号。
 
总的来说,综指依然在1668点以上波动,目前未有任何转弱的迹象。唯一要留意及审慎的,就是目前市场稍微偏高的卖压。但只要综指还是维持在142131EMA的动态支持线以上的话,那基本上涨势还是完整的,而纯碎技术而言,目前的技术展望还是维持在正面。
 
祝你好运
 
 

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