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Wednesday, October 31, 2012

Technical Analysis : FBM KLCI 2012-10-30 / 富时大马综合指数 2012-10-30

FBM KLCI 30 Oct 2012
As indicated by A, the KLCI successfully stayed above 1668 on Tuesday, gaining 2.11 points to close at 1674.67 points. The temporary resistance for the KLCI remains at 1679 ~ 1680 level, while the 14, 21, 31 EMA is still serving as the dynamic support to the KLCI.
 
As indicated by B, total market volume fell 12.33%, but volume stays above its 40-day Volume Moving Average. This shows that the overall market is still actively participated, relatively. Meanwhile, losers outnumbered gainers with 292 gaining while 384 losing. This implies that profit taking is slightly strong on Tuesday.
 
As indicated by C, the Stochastic stays above 70%, thus the short-term bullish signal remains intact, suggesting that the short-term movement of the KLCI is still positive.
 
In conclusion, despite the KLCI closing at yet another historical closing high, stronger profit takings is still dominant with numbers of losing stocks more than rising stocks. Also, the turnover value fell 16%, with RM 1,166 millions, this suggests that investors are generally being cautious while locking in some of their profits. Nevertheless, the immediate technical outlook of the KLCI remains positive, as the uptrend is still intact.
 
富时大马综合指数 2012-10-30
如图中箭头A所示,富时大马综合指数站稳在1668点以上,周二上扬2.11点以1674.67点挂收。综指暂时的阻力落在1679  1680 点的水平,支持水平还是142131EMA的动态支持线。
 
如图中箭头B所示,马股总成交量减少了12.33%,不过成交量还是达到40天的成交量平均线(VMA)的水平。这表示市场的交投还算是活跃的。另一方面,马股周二下跌股项超过升股(292只涨/384只跌),这暗示着周二投资者套利的活动是稍微的偏高。
 
如图中箭头C所示,随机指标(Stochastic)继续维持在70%的水平,这表示综指短期的走势还是维持在强势中,直到随机指标跌破70%水平为止,届时才是短期强势结束的讯号。
 
总的来说,虽然综指周二写下历史收市新高,但是下跌股项却比上升股来得多,同时市场总交易值也比周一的减少了16%,达11亿6632万令吉。这意味着投资者处于谨慎而套利。无论如何,综指目前的技术展望依然维持在正面,同时还是维持在涨势中。
 
祝你好运
 

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