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Wednesday, October 3, 2012

Technical Analysis : FBMKLCI 02-10-2012 / 富时大马综合指数 2012-10-02

FBM KLCI 02 October 2012
Since rebounding from 1600, the KLCI has been rising for the 6th days. On Tuesday, the KLCI closed at 1651.03 points, gaining 7.72 points or 0.47%. As indicated by A, the KLCI is approaching the 1655 historical high, while its support is at 1625.
 
As indicated by B, total market volume increased 0.66%, however, it is still unable to break above the 40-day Volume Moving Average. This suggests that the market participation relatively still quiet, and also implying that investors are still not feeling confident about the market.
 
As indicated by C, the Stochastic stays above 70%, and still rising, after breaking above 70% on last Friday. This suggests that the short-term movement of the KLCI is bullish biased.
 
In conclusion, although the short-term movement of the KLCI is positive, it has not resumed its previous uptrend as it is still capped under 1655. Nevertheless, with the KLCI above the 14, 21, 31 EMA, the immediate technical outlook is on the positive side.
 
富时大马综合指数 2012-10-02
富时大马综合指数自1600点反弹以来,至今已经连续上扬了第6天。综指周二上扬7.72点或0.47%,以1651.03点挂收。如图中箭头A所示,综指即将要试探1655点的历史高峰阻力水平,支持水平落在1625点。
 
如图中箭头B所示,马股总成交量增加了0.66%,成交量还未能达到40天的成交量平均线(VMA)的水平。以技术而言,马股目前的交投还是属于淡静的,这继续暗示着投资者对马股的信心还是不强。
 
如图中箭头C所示,随机指标(Stochastic)自上周五突破70%水平后继续上扬,目前继续处于短期强势区域里。以技术而言,只要随机指标能维持在70%水平以上,那综指短期的走势将还是维持在偏强的格局中。
 
总的来说,综指短期走势虽然偏强,但是却还不至于表示综指将能恢复之前的上升趋势。这是因为综指还未能突破1655点的阻力水平。无论如何,由于综指已经处于142131EMA以上,因此目前的技术展望是处于正面的。
 
祝你好运

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