Technical Analysis : FBMKLCI12-09-2012 / 富时大马综合指数 2012-09-12

富时大马综合指数 2012-09-12

如图所示，富时大马综合指数周三盘中一度回弹，但是由于蓝筹股项继续受到卖压，特别是亚洲航空与UEM置地，使得综指只能以1613.78点挂收，按日微跌0.46点。如图中箭头A所示，14、21、31天EMA是综指目前的动态阻力线。另外，综指阻力落在1625点，支持则是1600点的整数点。

 

如图中箭头B所示，马股总成交量周三减少了16.3%，使得成交量继续处于40天的成交量平均线（VMA）以下。这表示马股整体上的交投是处于淡静的。以技术而言，若成交量继续偏低的话，那马股一般上都难以转强。

 

如图中C圈所示，随机指标（Stochastic）到目前为止还是处于30%水平以下的短期弱势区域里。这表示综指短期还未能摆脱偏弱的格局。若随机指标能上扬突破30%水平，那综指短期有望出现技术反弹。

 

总的来说，综指周二精确在1600点整数点回弹后，周三大致上在窄幅中波动。不过，全日上扬股项有409只，超越下跌股的292只，这暗示者有许多股项都开始出现回弹的迹象。只不过这反弹的迹象还未反映在综指上。无论如何，综指会否形成熊市目前还是言之过早。

 

FBM KLCI 12 Sept 2012

On Wednesday, the KLCI had some early gains, but the strong selling pressure in blue chips pushes the KLCI lower, especially AIRASIA and UEMLAND. At the close, the KLCI fell 0.46 of a point to 1613.78 points. As indicated by A, the 14, 21, 31 EMA is serving as the dynamic resistance. Immediate resistance for the KLCI is at 1625 and the support is at 1600 mark.

 

As indicated by B, total market volume fell 16.3%, with volume below the 40-day Volume Moving Average. This shows that the market is indeed quiet, as investors are being very cautious, while reluctant to take up positions. Generally, without sufficient participation, the market as a whole is less likely to pick up its strength.

 

As circled at C, the Stochastic remains below 30%, in the short-term bearish territory. This suggests that the short-term movement of the KLCI is still on the weaker side. If the Stochastic should break above 30%, it would be a signal suggesting a technical rebound.

 

In conclusion, after precisely rebounding from 1600, the KLCI was fluctuating in a narrow range on Wednesday. However, the score board is showing some improvement with gainers outnumbering loser, 409 to 292. However, this minor improvement is not yet reflected in the KLCI performance. Nonetheless, it is still too early to call for any bearish or downtrend movement for the KLCI.

 

HAPPY TRENDING