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Monday, June 25, 2012

Technical Analysis : FBMKLCI 22/06/2012 / 富时大马综合指数 2012-06-22

FBM KLCI 22 June 2012
As indicated by A, the FBM KLCI tested the historical high again on Friday, with its intraday high reaching 1608.65 points. However, at the close, the KLCI was still resisted by the 1609, closing at 1603.07 points, gaining only 1.64 points. The 14, 21, 31 EMA is still serving as the dynamic support to the KLCI.

As indicated by B, total market volume fell 5.97%, but volume remains above the 40-day Volume Moving Average. Technically, if volume should continue to increase while staying above the 40-day Volume Moving Average, the market sentiment in a whole is likely to improve a little.

As circled at C, the MACD histogram stopped rising on Friday, and if it should fall, it means that the KLCI is losing some strength in the short-term, or a signal suggesting consolidation ahead.

In conclusion, the KLCI is still testing the 1609 high, but its immediate technical outlook remains positive, provided that it is above the 14, 21, 31 EMA and the L2 line. Nevertheless, the performance of the regional markets still plays a important role in guiding our market overall performance.

富时大马综合指数 2012-06-22
如图中箭头A所示,富时大马综合指数周五全日一度上扬至1608.65点的最高,再次上探1609点的历史高峰阻力水平,惟继续在1609点遇阻而回软,按日微扬1.64点以1603.07点挂收。图中所示的142131EMA依然是综指目前的动态支持线。

如图中箭头B所示,马股总成交量周五稍微减少5.97%,但是仍然维持在40天的成交量平均线(VMA)以上。以技术而言,马股成交量若能继续增加的话,那将有助于改善现有的投资气氛。

如图中C圈所示,平均乖离振荡指标(MACD Histogram)停止上扬,有形成圆顶的迹象。若平均乖离振荡指标接下来继续下滑的话,那表示综指短期有再次进入盘整的可能。

总的来说,综指还是在1609点历史高峰遇阻,但是综指目前的技术展望仍然是处于正面,除非综指接下来失守142131EMA的动态支持线或L2的上升线。无论如何,区域股市的表现也仍然对马股有一定的影响。

祝你好运

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