随着隔夜美国股市回弹，再配合亚太区域股市纷纷回弹，马股周五全日上扬8.29点或0.53%，以1579.23点挂收。如图中箭头A所示，综指依然维持在14、21、31天EMA的动态支持线及1566-1570点支持水平以上。
如图中箭头B所示，马股总成交量周五增加46.05%，几乎达到40天的成交量平均线（VMA）的水平。表面上来看，马股周五的交投明显的增加，若接下来马股总成交量能继续增加并突破40天的成交量平均线的话，一般上将有利于改善马股的交易气氛。不过，在30只综指成份股项当中，有几个蓝筹股（国油气体Petgas，国油贸易Petdag，大众银行Pbbank，马来亚银行Maybank，及马电讯TM）周五成交量明显剧增，但是股价却收低。在技术的角度来看，这表示套利活动是偏强的。
如图中C圈所示，平均乖离振荡指标（MACD Histogram）停止下滑，有形成圆底（Rounding Bottom）的可能。若平均乖离振荡指标能继续回弹的话，那表示综指短期的盘整结束，有回弹的机会。
总的来说，综指周五虽然回弹超过8点，同时成交量也有增加的迹象，但是综指暂时还未有形成涨势或恢复之前上扬趋势的确认。无论如何，若成交量能继续增加的话，那马股整体上的投资气氛将会继续改善。
FBM KLCI 15 June 2012
The KLCI gained 8.29 points, lead by regional markets gains after over-night rises of the US markets. The KLCI closed at 1579.23 points, and as indicated by A, the KLCI stays above the 14, 21, 31 EMA dynamic support as well as the 1566-1570 support.
As indicated by B, total market volume increased 46.05%, almost touching the 40-day Volume Moving Average. If volume should continue to increase and break above the 40-day Volume Moving Average, the market sentiment as a whole is likely to improve. However, a few of the KLCI components (Petgas, Petdag, TM, Pbbank, and Maybank) had obvious increase of volume, but price closed lower. This is usually suggesting that selling pressure of these counters were relatively high.
As circled at C, the MACD histogram stopped falling on Friday, and if it could continue to tick up, it means that the KLCI short-term is now picking up some strength.
In conclusion, despite gaining over 8 points, the KLCI has not shown signs of resuming or forming an uptrend. Nevertheless, if volume should continue to increase, the market sentiment as a whole is likely to improve.
HAPPY TRADING
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