综合指数 2011年 01月 26日如图中箭头A所示，富时综合指数继续下滑，一度更下跌至1505.36点，随后综指出现回弹，收窄跌幅，综指按日下滑6.43点，以1520点闭市。由于综指跌破了1525.49%的50%费氏支持线，所以1525.49点转过来成为综指当前的阻力水平，支持水平则是1513.34点的费氏线。
如图所示，布林频带（Bollinger Bands）打开28%，而综指依然维持在布林中频带以下，所以综指继续下跌。不过由于布林频带打开的幅度开始减少，这显示综指下跌的速度亦有缓和下来的迹象。接下来若布林频带打开的幅度继续减低，综指将有望出现技术调整，使到综指避开进一步的下跌。
如图中箭头B所示，马股的总成交量减少27.23%，这使到成交量跌破了40天成交量移动平均线（VMA），这显示投资者开始对后市有顾虑，选择场外观望。如图中箭头C所示，随机指标（Stochastic）回弹，不过指标仍然低于30%，这显示综指的短期依然属于跌势中，换句话说，接下来若随机指标上扬突破30%，综指有望结束短期跌势而开始进入巩固中。
综指目前仍然低于布林中频带以及31天加权移动平均线（EMA），所以综指基本上属于下跌的趋势中，惟综指必须形成较低的顶（Lower High），综指才能确认长期的走势。总的来说，综指的短期走势依然趋软，至于综指长期走势则有待综指进一步的演变才能确认。
FBM KLCI 26 Janyary 2011As indicated by A, the KLCI had a sharp loss in the early trade, with its daily low reaching 1505.36, but it gradually covered most of its loss, and close at 1520 points, losing 6.43 points. Immediate resistance for the KLCI is at 1525.49 while the new support is at 1513.34 WinChart Automatic Fibonacci Retracement.
Meanwhile, the Bollinger Bands expanded 28%, with the KLCI remains below the Bollinger Middle Band. This suggests that the immediate technical outlook for the KLCI is still on the negative side. If the Bollinger Bands should begin to contract, the KLCI is likely to stop falling and consolidate.
As indicated by B, total market volume fell 27.23%, with volume below the 40-day Volume Moving Average. This suggests that investors are being cautious and prefer to stay on the sidelines as the market sentiment for the short term is affected by the sharp retreat of the KLCI.As indicated by C, the Stochastic rebounded slightly, but remains below 30%, in the short term bearish territory. This suggests that the short term movement of the KLCI is still weak, until the Stochastic could successfully break above 30%.
In conclusion, the technical outlook for the KLCI is now negative as the KLCI is below the Bollinger Middle Band, as well as the 14, 21, 31 EMA. The KLCI has not formed a lower-high, thus it has not confirmed a downtrend formation.
HAPPY TRADING
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