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Friday, July 20, 2012

Technical Analysis : FBMKLCI 20/07/2012 / 富时大马综合指数 2012-07-20

FBM KLCI 20 July 2012
Despite having its daily high reaching 1647 points, the KLCI ended lower on Friday, closing at 1643 points, losing 1.6 points. The KLCI is likely to consolidate with the 1647 as the immediate resistance. Meanwhile, as indicated by A, the 14, 21, 31 EMA is still serving as the dynamic support to the KLCI while the L2 uptrend line remains intact.

As indicated by B, total market volume increased 9.98%, with volume above the 40-day Volume Moving Average. However, together with the score board showing losers outnumbering gainers, the higher volume suggests profit taking was relatively active on Friday. Fortunately, losers were only marginally higher than gainers, with 410 losers vs 376 gainers.

As circled at C, the Stochastic remains above 70%, in the short-term bullish territory. This suggests that the KLCI short-term movement is still positive, and not showing any weakening signals yet.

In conclusion, the KLCI is at consolidation mood, but the uptrend remains intact. As long as the KLCI could stay above the 14, 21, 31 EMA and the L2 line, the technical outlook for the KLCI is still positive.

富时大马综合指数 2012-07-20
尽管富时大马综合指数周五一度上探1647.41点的全日最高,但是最终仍然收低,以1643点挂收,按日微跌1.60。综指继续有盘整的迹象。综指阻力依然落在1647点。图中箭头A所示的142131EMA依然是综指的动态支持线而L2的上升趋势线也还是完整的。

如图中箭头B所示,马股总成交量周五增加了9.98%,配合马股周五下跌的股项超过上升股,因此这成交量的增加,表示套利活动也活跃起来。无论如何,若接下来综指还是维持在盘整格局的话,成交量若能减少的话才算是最理想的盘整格局。

如图中C圈所示,随机指标(Stochastic)虽然稍微下滑,但是始终维持在70%水平以上。这表示综指短期的走势还是处于强势中,暂时未有任何转弱的讯号。

总的来说,综指继续在窄幅中波动,有处于盘整格局的迹象。但是综指涨势依然是完整的。以技术而言,只要综指还是能获得142131EMAL2上升趋势线扶持的话,那综指的技术展望也还是处于正面的。

祝你好运

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