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Monday, July 30, 2012

Technical Analysis : 富时大马综合指数 2012-07-30 / FBM KLCI 30 July 2012

富时大马综合指数 2012-07-30
如图中箭头A所示,富时大马综合指数继续获得142131EMA动态支持线的扶持,按日回弹7.41点或0.46%,以1632.35点挂收。虽然综指暂时还未能重返L2线以上,但是只要综指能继续获得142131EMA的扶持而形成较高底(Higher-lows)的话,那综指基本上还是维持在涨势中。综指阻力保持在1647.94点的水平。

如图中箭头B所示,马股总成交量增加了25.58%,使得成交量上扬突破了40天的成交量平均线(VMA)的水平。简单来说,只要成交量能继续维持在40天的成交量平均线(VMA)以上的话,那表示马股整体上的交投是活跃的,而这将有助于综指(或马股整体上)延续上扬格局。

如图中箭头C所示,随机指标(Stochastic)回弹,上扬突破了30%水平而摆脱了短期弱势的区域。以技术而言,这表示综指短期避开了偏弱的格局,目前显示着中立的讯号。若随机指标接下来能上扬突破70%水平的话,那表示综指短期再次进入偏强的格局。

总的来说,综指在142131EMA动态支持线获得扶持而反弹,有形成较高底的可能。若综指形能成较高底的话,届时综指的涨势将有望维持下去,后市继续看俏。以技术而言,只要综指能维持在142131EMA以上,那综指的技术展望将处于正面。

FBM KLCI 30 July 2012
On Monday, the KLCI rebounded 7.41 points or 0.46% to close at 1632.35 points, after finding its support from the 14, 21, 31 EMA dynamic support. Although the KLCI has not yet returned to above the L2 line, with the KLCI being supported by the 14, 21, 31 EMA, the KLCI is basically still in its uptrend.
Resistance for the KLCI is at 1647.94 points.

As indicated by B, total market volume increased 25.58%, with volume above the 40-day Volume Moving Average. This generally suggests that the market is actively participated, and if volume could sustain above the 40-day Volume Moving Average, it would help sustain the KLCI or the market overal uptrend.

As indicated by C, the Stochastic breaks above 30%, leaving the short-term bearish territory as the KLCI rebound. Currently, the Stochastic is showing a neutral signal. If the Stochastic could break above 70%, it would be a short-term bullish signal for the KLCI.

In conclusion, with the KLCI rebounding from the 14, 21, 31 EMA, there is a chance for the KLCI forming higher-lows, if so, it means that the KLCI is likely to extending its uptrend movement. Technically, provided that the KLCI could stay above the 14, 21, 31 EMA, the technical outlook for the KLCI remains positive.

HAPPY TRENDING


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