随着上周五美国股市出现回调，富时大马综合指数（综指）周一下挫14.01点或0.92%，以1509.06点挂收。如图中箭头A所示，综指目前正要试探14、21、31天综合加权移动平均线（Exponential Moving Average – EMA）的动态支持线及L1上升趋势线。综指阻力水平维持在1530点。
如图中箭头B所示，马股总成交量周一减少18.71%，因此成交量未能达到40天的成交量平均线（VMA）的水平。换句话说，若成交量继续处于40天的成交量平均线以下的话，那表示马股整体上的交投还是属于淡静的。
如图中箭头C所示，随机指标（Stochastic）周一跌破了70%及50%的水平，这表示综指短期强势的讯号暂时已告一段落。如今正在试探30%水平，若随机指标接下来跌破30%水平，那便是综指短期进入弱势的讯号。
总的来说，综指出现技术调整，但是由于继续获得14、21、31天动态支持线及L1线的扶持，所以涨势还是完整的。若综指接下来跌破14、21、31天EMA或L1线的话，那涨势将会受到破坏，但并不表示综指将立即转为跌势。
Composite Index 2012-01-16
Due to the last Friday's losses of the US market, the KLCI retreated 14.01 points or 0.92% on Monday, closing at 1509.06 points. As indicated by A, the KLCI is now testing the 14, 21, 31 EMA dynamic support as well as the L1 uptrend line.
As indicated by B, total market volume fell 18.71%, with volume below the 40-day volume moving average. This suggests that the market is relatively quiet.
As indicated by C, the Stochastic fell below 70% and 50% on Monday, which marks an end to the short term bullish movement. The Stochastic is now testing 30%, and if the Stochastic should break below 30%, it would be entering a short term bearish territory.
In conclusion, despite the retreat on Monday, the uptrend of the KLCI remains intact,as long as the KLCI could stay above the 14, 21, 31 EMA. If the KLCI should break below the dynamic support, the uptrend could be violated, but it does not necessary mean an immediate bearish reversal.
HAPPY TRADING
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