With the exception of the Shanghai Composite Index, most of the Asian markets ended higher, as driven by the over-night strong gains of the US markets. As indicated by A, the KLCI rose 5.12 points or 0.32%, closing at 1588.10 points. The KLCI is still supported by the 14, 21, 31 EMA dynamic support, while the resistance stays at 1597.08 or 1600.
As indicated by B, total market volume increased 29.83%, but volume is still below the 40-day Volume Moving Average. This suggests that the market in a whole is still lightly participated. Technically, more volume is needed to sustain the bullish movement, especially when the KLCI is testing its historical high.
As indicated by C, the Stochastic stays above 70%, in its short-term bullish territory. This suggests that the KLCI short-term movement is still positive. If the Stochastic should break below 70%, it would be a signal suggesting a beginning of a short-term technical correction.
In conclusion, the uptrend of the KLCI remains intact, with positive technical outlook. However, if the KLCI should sustain this uptrend, it would have to break above its resistance, and equally important, more volume is needed.
富时大马综合指数 2012-03-27
在美国股市隔夜大举上扬的带动之下，亚太区域主要股市（除了上证综指以外）纷纷上涨。如图中箭头A所示，富时大马综合指数周二上扬5.12点或0.32%，以1588.10点挂收。综指继续维持在14、21、31天EMA的动态支持线以上，阻力还是保持在1597.08点及1600点的整数心理水平。
如图中箭头B所示，马股总成交量周二增加了29.83%，但是却还未能达到40天的成交量平均线（VMA）的水平。这表示马股整体上的交投还是处于淡静。以技术而言，若综指接下来要突破1597.08点的历史新高，那就必须要获得成交量明显增加的确认。
如图中箭头C所示，随机指标（Stochastic）继续处于70%水平以上的短期强势区域里。这表示综指短期走势至今还是偏强的，直到随机指标跌破70%水平为止，届时才是综指短期技术调整开始的讯号。
总的来说，综指涨势依然是完整的，同时技术展望也还是处于正面。不过，综指接下来能否延续涨势，关键还是在于综指能否突破1597.08点或1600点的历史新高，而相等重要的，就是马股整体上成交量的增加。
祝你好运
No comments:
Post a Comment