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Saturday, August 21, 2010

DJIA Closes The Week Lower 21 Aug 2010

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Yen worries sink Nikkei 2% in broadly lower Asia
The major Asian stock markets declined Friday, with exporters stumbling again in Japan as weak U.S. jobs data and a strong yen hurt Tokyo shares.
The Nikkei Stock Average fell 2% to erase the gains it accumulated earlier this week as the dollar stayed resolutely in the 85-86 yen range -- weaker than the level assumed by several Japanese corporations in their annual forecasts. The dollar's weakness against the yen makes Japanese exports to the rest of the world more expensive.

Chinese shares dropped after Beijing announced new property tightening measures, with the Ministry of Land and Resources saying Thursday it will reinforce its campaign to crack down on land hoarding and misuse by property developers.
The Shanghai-listed shares of China Citic Bank(CN:601998 5.80, -0.17, -2.85%) dropped 2.9%, Industrial & Commercial Bank of China
After Thursday's onslaught of negative data, traders were desperately seeking some kind of bullish catalyst today. But with no major economic reports on the docket -- and a decidedly mixed bag of earnings from tech-sector players Dell and Hewlett-Packard investors seemed reluctant to leave money on the table over the weekend.
As a result, the bears took control right out of the gate on Friday, with energy stocks pacing the decliners amid ongoing concerns about the pace of the U.S. economic recovery.
However, given a general lack of market-moving developments, it seems that even the bears lacked the courage of their convictions today. Stocks drifted gradually higher throughout the afternoon, and the slow-and-steady push helped the Nasdaq Composite, at least, end the week on positive ground. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA – 10,213.62) ended on a drop of 57.6 points, or 0.6%, as 22 of its 30 components closed lower. Hewlett-Packard paced the laggards, while Travelers Companies set the tone for the eight advancing blue chips. The Dow wrapped up the week on a loss of 0.9%, and ended beneath its 10-week moving average for the first time since July 16.
The S&P 500 Index (SPX – 1,071.69) gave up about 4 points, or 0.4%, and notched a second consecutive weekly close beneath its 10-week trendline. However, the SPX is still perched above support at 1,070.

The Nasdaq Composite (COMP – 2,179.76) showed up its broad-market peers by ending fractionally higher -- the COMP tacked on 0.8 point, or 0.04%, after finding intraday support at 2,160.
On a weekly basis, the SPX shed 0.7%, while the COMP bucked the week's bearish trend by adding 0.3%.

Crude oil for September delivery ended its run as the front-month contract on a negative note. With no new developments to distract traders from Thursday's bleak reports on employment and manufacturing, black gold was pummeled on fears of anemic energy demand. September-dated crude oil closed on a loss of 97 cents, or 1.3%, at $73.46 per barrel.
On a weekly basis, crude futures shed 2.6%.

HAPPY TRADING

Friday, August 20, 2010

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS > 综合指数 2010年08月20日/ Composite Index 20/08/2010

综合指数 2010年 08月 20日
如图中箭头A所示,虽然区域股市被道指拖累而纷纷下滑,富时综合指数仍然收高2.46点,以1395.02点闭市,综指当前的阻力水平仍然是1400的心理阻力水平,支持水平则维持在1354点及1340.63点的费氏支持水平

如图所示,布林频带(Bollinger Bands)打开17%,由于打开的幅度开始减少,所以上扬综指上扬的幅度也减少,不过只要综指一直处于布林中频带(Bollinger Middle Band)以上,布林频带打开将使到综指继续走高。

如图中箭头B所示,虽然马股的成交量进一步减少15.1%,不过成交量仍然能达到40天成交量平均值(VMA),这显示虽然投资者在外围因素的影响下,有的采取观望的态度,不过整体上市场还是有相当足够的交易活动,这对综指转强的走势有保温的作用。

如图中箭头C所示,随机指标(Stochastic)继续处于100%的水平,这是综指短期走势强劲,并且略带过热的讯号。无论如何,接下来若随机指标能继续维持在70%以上,综指的短期走势将能维持着上扬的趋势。

换句话说,若随机指标跌破70%的水平,综指的短期涨势将有结束的风险。总的来说,综指目前仍然属于涨势中,惟布林频带打开的幅度有减低的迹象,所以综指将有出现技术调整的可能。一般上,只要综指不跌破布林中频带,综指的下跌趋势只是纯技术调整而已。

Composite Index 20/08/2010
As indicated by A, despite regional markets are closing lower, the KLCI added another 2.6 points, to close at 1395.02 points. Resistance for the KLCI is still at 1400 level while the support is at 1354 followed by 1340.63 WinChart Automatic Fibonacci Retracement.

As shown on the chart above, the Bollinger Bands expanded 17%, with the KLCI still above the Bollinger Middle Band, thus the Bollinger Bands is still showing a bullish biased signal for the KLCI.
As indicated by B, total market volume declined 15.1%, but still above the 40-day VMA level, suggesting that the market is still relatively actively participated. Again, with the volume above the 40-day VMA level, the market sentiment as a whole is likely to stay positive.

As indicated by C, the Stochastic is still touching 100%, thus the KLCI short term movement is indeed over-heated. Therefore, a pull back is likely to take place in the near term. However, as long as the Stochastic is still above 70%, the short term movement of the KLCI is still bullish biased.
In conclusion, if the Stochastic should break below 70%, it would mark a beginning of a technical correction. But generally, the uptrend of the KLCI is still intact, with the KLCI still above the Bollinger Middle Band, as well as the 14, 21, 31 EMA.
HAPPY WEEKEND

Thursday, August 19, 2010

Bursa Malaysia Closing Market Report

FBM KLCI Breaks 1390 Jan 2008 High
1400 A One Way Ticket?
Dealers said the key index was expected to reach the 1,400 points level if the buying momentum in blue chip counters continued.
Consistent buying pushes the benchmark barometer FBM KLCI higher by 0.51% to close at 1392.56 points on late buying of index-linked counters, including CIMB, Maybank and Tenaga. The market opened on a firm note and stayed in positive territory throughout the day, tracking gains in Asian equity markets.
The market traded within a range of 6.63 points between an intra-day high of 1392.56 and a low of 1385.93 during the session.
Trading volume declined to 983.38 mil shares worth RM1700.06 mil as compared to Wednesday's 998.07 mil shares worth RM1615.81 mil.
Market breadth was positive with 407 gainers as compared to 321 losers.
Actively traded stocks include TMCLIFE, SIGGAS, CAROTEC, KEURO, TIMECOM, AIRASIA, BJRETAIL, GENM, TM and MIECO.
Leading Movers were CIMB (+12 sen to RM7.62), MAYBANK (+10 sen to RM8.07), TNB (+10 sen to RM8.72), TELEKOM (+10 sen to RM3.57) and PLUS (+11 sen to RM3.98). Lagging Movers were GENTING (-10 sen to RM8.77), MAXIS (-3 sen to RM5.40), AXIATA (-1 sen to RM4.35), IOI (-1 sen to RM5.17) and MISC (-2 sen to RM8.86).

The Finance Index surged 0.88% to 12595.66 points, the Properties Index added 1.04% to 864.03 points and the Plantation Index climbed 0.20% to 6523.35 points.

At close, the Finance Index surged 110.28 points to 12,595.66, the Plantation Index gained 12.86 points to 6,523.35 and the Industrial Index added 5.88 points to 2,685.01.The FBM Emas Index expanded 47.60 points to 9,398.01, the FBM70 Index climbed 54.16 points to 9,319.41 while the FBM ACE Index declined 11.32 points to 3,849.90.
HAPPY TRADING

FKLI 15 mins Chart @12.45pm 19 Aug 2010

FKLI HIGHER AT MIDDAY BOOSTED BY CASH MARKET
The FTSE Bursa Malaysia Kuala Lumpur Composite Index futures contract on Bursa Malaysia Derivatives traded higher at midday in line with the firm cash market, dealers said.
At noon break, the August 2010, September 2010 and December 2010 contracts were up 9.5 points each at 1,395, 1,394.5 and 1,393 respectively, while March 2011 increased eight points to 1,393.
Turnover stood at 4,937 lots while open interest totalled 18,766 contracts.The underlying index was 5.52 points higher at 1,391.03.



FKLI Recommendation / Options
Intraday Positions Take Profits @1400 +/- Level
Open Positions Place Trailing Stops To Ride Your Profits
Those Without Positions .....
Intraday Too Tight Range
New Overnite Positioning Not Advisable
Better Wait For RED FKLI
Wait For Next Boat ........

CPO Falls In Tandem With Soyoil and Export Data

Weather Concern In Indonesia May Limit Price Decline

Malaysia's palm oil exports fell 16% during the Aug. 1-15 period to 592,094 tons compared with the same period in July, cargo surveyor SGS (Malaysia) Bhd. said. Another surveyor, Intertek Agri Services, said exports during the period fell 7.4% on month to 619,435 tons.

Crude palm oil futures on Malaysia’s derivatives exchange fell Wednesday, dragged lower by declines in CBOT soyoil. The benchmark November contract on the Bursa Malaysia Derivatives exchange ended MYR36 lower at MYR2,610 a metric ton after sliding to a 1 1/2-week low of MYR2,592. Disruptive rainfall in Indonesia may limit the slide in prices.

Open interest on the BMD was 65,245 lots, versus 65,056 lots Tuesday. One lot is equivalent to 25 tons. A total of 28,150 lots of CPO were traded versus 21,590 lots Tuesday.
CPO Recommendation
Buy On Dips