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Showing posts with label CIMB. Show all posts
Showing posts with label CIMB. Show all posts

Tuesday, August 23, 2011

ZLBT Random Stock Picks >>> CIMB + GENTING BHD

CIMB & GENTING BHD  recommended SELL

Technical Comments
Driven by a fresh stochastics sell signal, CIMB shares could fall towards the 61.8%FR (RM7.63), with a breakdown to target the 76.4%FR (RM7.26), before buyers return to bargain hunt.

Technical Comments:
Genting shares could also weaken further on bearish technical momentum, with a breakdown below the 50%FR (RM9.44) to target the 61.8%FR (RM8.83) or even the 76.4%FR (RM8.09) before stabilizing.

HAPPY INVESTING & GOODLUCK2ALL

Sunday, March 15, 2009

The ‘People’ Who Are Said To Be Closed To Datuk Seri Najib Razak

Soon after Najib was appointed Finance Minister in mid-September 2008, a corporate roundtable session was organised. Six individuals, each with a deep knowledge of his field, were personally chosen by Najib. They were tapped for ideas on how to address issues ranging from the economy, capital markets and business in general. The six were …

1. Tan Sri Azman Mokhtar, the managing director of Khanazah Nasional Bhd;
2. Tan Sri Md Nor Yusof. An ex-banker, he was the former managing director of Malaysia Airlines and past chairman of the Securities Commission. He is currently director and chairman of Khazanah’s executive committee;

3. Datuk Mohd Nadzmi Mohd Salleh, chairman and MD of express bus operator, Konsortium Transnational Bhd. The former Proton boss was called upon by the Government in 1996 to revive the ailing public transport company;


4. Datuk Shahril Shamsuddin of Sapura Group, which has interests in communications, information technology, and oil and gas;

5. Datuk Mohamed Azman Yahya, director of Khazanah, and founder and group chief executive of outsourcing firm Symphony House Bhd. He is also the ex-CEO of Pengurusan Danaharta Bhd; and

6. Dr Gan Wee Beng, the executive director of CIMB Group.

All six have at one point or other played a significant advisory role in government agencies and strategic sectors. Some are still at it.

Azman Mokhtar continues to play a prominent role in the reforms of government-linked companies after instituting wide-ranging boardroom and management revamps.

Md Nor has a wealth of experience in banking and a keen insight on capital markets.

Nadzmi’s expertise is in transportation, a sector that requires much reform.
Shahril is the technology and multimedia man.

Azman, an ex-banker, helped set up and headed Danaharta during the Asian financial crisis in 1997/98. He sits on several advisory panels for the development of the capital market, venture capital and public service delivery system.

And Gan was a consultant to Bank Negara, the Economic Planning Unit, finance ministry and the World Bank.

The influence these six people wield in the new administration would be worth watching.

Abdullah was a main force behind the transformation of the government-linked companies (GLCs). The PM’s political will and Azman’s stewardship injected new life into the companies. The once lumbering giants were spruced up and restructured. What will become of the Khazanah-linked GLCs – and their captains – when Najib takes over? Will he maintain the status quo, is a question in the minds of many.

Second Finance Minister Tan Sri Mohamed Nor Yakcop, another key figure in the GLC transformation, hand-picked Azman to head Khazanah. Mohamed Nor is also believed to have brought in Datuk Seri Wahid Omar (currently Maybank CEO), Datuk Seri Che Khalib (Tenaga president and CEO), Datuk Shahril Ridzuan (MRCB managing director) and Datuk Abdul Rahman Ahmad (Prima Media managing director) to help push through the GLC reforms.

Whether Mohamed Nor will stay on as Second Finance Minister is anybody’s guess. It’s Najib’s call. But if Mohamed Nor leaves, it might be taken as a hint that Khazanah-linked companies are in for changes at the helm.

As one observer puts it: “Najib may have his own trusted lieutenants who he deems are more suited for the job, moving forward.”

Without a doubt, the spotlight next year (2009) will be on the other Razak brothers: CIMB’s Datuk Seri Nazir Razak, corporate figure Datuk Nizam Razak, Shearn Delamore & Co partner Datuk Johari Razak and architect Nazim Razak. For Nazir, in particular, given his high profile the potentially closer scrutiny could be discomforting.

Out of the family, a name that frequently pops up when asked who is in Najib’s milieu is Rohana Mahmood, chairman and partner of Ethos Capital, a RM200mil private equity firm. Rohana and Omar Mutapha Ong, a former special assistant to Najib, are co-founders of the boutique advisory firm Ethos & Co.

Rohana sits on the boards of Paramount Corp Bhd, TH Group Bhd and Dijaya Corp Bhd. She and another close aide of Najib, Abdul Razak Baginda, are co-founders of the independent think-tank, Malaysian Strategic Research Centre. Najib was chairman of the think-tank, now (Dec 2008) disbanded.

Omar was seen not too long ago in the finance minister’s office “just assisting a friend with some perspective’’ as one source puts it. But speculation about Najib building a “wall of advisers” around him resulted in Omar being asked to return to Ethos. The political rationale for Najib to distance himself from the “fourth-floor boys” syndrome is understandable. That was one of the most criticised aspects of the Abdullah administration.

Sources say Najib is not keen to have “filters” between him and the civil service. And he will likely have more direct his dealings with the business sector.

Inevitably, various names will be linked with Najib. But who counts more than others will be difficult to say; some may be social acquintances, others confidantes.

Johan Holdings Bhd chairman and chief executive Tan Sri Tan Kay Hock is among the people said to be close to Najib. They have known each other for a long time and are also golfing buddies.

Najib’s father and Malaysia’s second Prime Minister, Tun Abdul Razak, and Tun Hussein Onn, uncle and third Prime Minister, were good friends of Tan Sri Robert Kuok, their friendship going back to their school days. But there’s nothing else to infer from that, a family friend says. “When the family is in Singapore, yes, they visit the Kuoks and spend some time with ‘Uncle Kuok’.”

Sapura’s Shahril and his family are also said to be close friends of Najib. Sources said that the Shamsuddin family has persevered through many prime ministers. And there is also a business link. Many years ago, a unit of the Sapura Group had produced portable radios for Mindef. Najib was previously Defence Minister.

And then there is Tan Sri Syed Mokhtar Albukhary. One of former Prime Minister Tun Dr Mahathir Mohamad’s closest allies, Syed Mokhtar controls DRB-HICOM. The company has a huge vehicle assembly plant – and is one of the largest employers – in Pekan, Pahang, Najib’s mainstay political base. Here too there’s a defence link. Defence Technologies Sdn Bhd or Deftech is a DRB unit and it is the country’s leading supplier of land-based defence vehicles. Yes, there are common links. But it would really benefit Syed Mokhtar if Tan Sri Muhyiddin Yassin becomes the PM (Muhyiddin was Johor Chief Minister when Syed Mokhtar was building his empire in the state. The two have very close ties.).

But it is understood that none are as tight with Najib as those who had journeyed with him through his early days in Umno Youth. His clique includes Datuk Seri Jamaludin Jarjis (Rompin MP and Pekan-born), Datuk Seri Shafie Apdal (National Unity, Culture, Arts and Heritage Minister), and Datuk Seri Ahmad Hamidi and Datuk Seri Mohamed Nazri Abdul Aziz (both Ministers in the Prime Minister’s Department). These are the chaps in his inner circle as they go back a long way.

The Brothers …

The five sons of the late Tun Abdul Razak have long been in the public limelight – they were growing up when their father was prime minster from 1970 to 1976. The eldest, Datuk Seri Najib Razak was 17 years old when his father became prime minister while the youngest, Datuk Nazir Razak was then just four.

It was, however, a relatively short prime ministerial tenure as Razak passed away after about five years in office. The family will again be thrust into the spotlight cast from the prime minister’s office which Najib will assume in March 2008.

His brothers have long been engaged in their own respective professions.

Datuk Johari Razak, the second eldest, read law, like his father. He is a senior partner at Shearn Delamore & Co, a large law firm in Kuala Lumpur. Johari is also a non-executive director in several publicly listed companies including, being chairman of Ancom Bhd, deputy chairman of related Nylex (M) Bhd, and directorships in Hong Leong Industries Bhd and Daiman Development Bhd. He is also a director of Deutsche Bank (M) Bhd.

The middle brother, Datuk Mohamed Nizam Razak studied politics, philosophy and economics at Oxford University in the UK and was a stockbroker, being CEO of PB Securities Sdn Bhd in the 1990s. At present (Dec 2008), he is also a non-executive director in several publicly listed companies including Hiap Teck Venture Bhd, Mamee Double-Decker (M) Bhd, Delloyd Ventures Bhd and Yeo Hiap Seng (M) Bhd. Like Johari, Nizam is also a director of Deutsche Bank.

The fourth brother Datuk Mohamed Nazim Razak, who also studied in a British university, is an architect. His wedding in 2005 when he married to Norjuma Habib Mohamed, former host of TV3’s Nona show, was widely covered in the media.


The youngest brother is the most well-known. Datuk Nazir Razak had studied at Cambridge University where he obtained a master of philosophy. A career banker, he joined CIMB Investment Bank almost 20 years ago, rising through its executive ranks to become its CEO in 1999. Following the merger of CIMB and Bumiputra-Commerce Bank to become Bumiputra-Commerce Holdings Bhd (BCHB), Nazir became CEO of the merged group. This was not an easy charge as Bumiputra-Commerce Bank, during its years as Bank Bumiputra, had a history of falling into financial difficulties and needed to be rescued by the government. Under his watch, the BCHB group, which is branded as CIMB group, was transformed into a GLC (government-linked company) bank that could compete with its peers in the private sector regionally.

Najib has been careful that there is no incidence of “family cronyism”, although that has not deterred his political opponents from raising the issue.

His record, however, is a good one. Among his brothers, only Nazir has risen to the top post of a large GLC but he had to climb the corporate ladder. More importantly, Nazir has proved to be a capable banker, an accolade offered by his peers and fund managers for the results he produced at CIMB group. Furthermore, he advanced at CIMB at a time when Najib held other cabinet posts, not that of finance minister.

In recent years (Before 2008), Najib had held the portfolio of defence minister and throughout his term of service, there were no scandals of defence contracts involving his brothers. The family is proud of the Razak name and do not want to tarnish that. When Najib was defence minister, any involvement by his brothers in the defence industry would have been politically sensitive or even suspicious.

The dilemma of his brothers now (Dec 2008) is that when Najib becomes prime minister, any career progression they may have in whatever field could be the subject of criticism of Najib’s influence. Yet, the brothers have built their respective careers and have the right, as any other individual, to move up in their careers.

That raises the possibility of a move to public service by some of the brothers. They are well-educated and are known to be well-mannered, rather than arrogant, and have not been known to abuse their family ties.

Thursday, March 5, 2009

BT biznewz4u 06 Mac 2009

Bursa Malaysia (BURSA MK, RM4.86)
• Bursa Malaysia has proposed for the first time to seek shareholders’ approval to buy back up to 10% of its own shares. Financing would be from its internal funds and/or external borrowings. Bursa also said all shares purchased might be cancelled or retained as treasury shares or a combination of both. CIMB has a SELL call with a target price of RM2.90.

Mah Sing Group (MSGB MK, RM1.58)
• Mah Sing expects to launch its RM1.35bn Southbay Penang by mid-2009. Group MD and chief executive Datuk Seri Leong Hoy Kum said the project would coincide with the completion of Southbay Penang's showhouses. On whether the global recession would delay the completion of Southbay Penang, Leong said the group was committed to completing all its projects on schedule. On the future of the property market in Penang in view of the global recession, he said the group expected the non-speculative range of properties to hold up well. CIMB has a SELL call on the stock with a target price of RM1.41.

Gamuda (GAM MK, RM1.95)
• Gamuda Land's maiden overseas project in Vietnam, the 500-acre Yen So Park integrated development, will be launched later this year after a delay of about 6 months from its initial June launch. The project was delayed after Vietnam succumbed to inflationary pressures and its currency fell last year, and more recently, the impact of the US-led global financial crisis. The project has a GDV of RM8bn and will be completed in 10 years. According to Gamuda Land MD Chow Chee Wah, the property market has stabilised in Hanoi. CIMB has a TRADING BUY call on the stock with a target price of RM2.95.

Media Prima (MPR MK, RM0.98)
• Media Prima is excited about the move towards digital broadcast, which would increase valueadded content, such as more channels, improved clarity and uninterruptible signals, but is concerned about the cost to the people and industry. "Early estimates indicates that the total industry costs may well exceed RM1bn. There is a real need to carefully weigh the costs incurred versus the benefits that will accrue from it," said group managing director and chief executive Abdul Rahman Ahmad. Rahman said that the government, industry and the public would have to dig deep into their pockets for new digital transmitters nationwide as well as either digital set-up boxes or digital-ready television sets for viewers. He added that the public should be offered incentives to ensure the cost of adopting digital television would not become a burden. Media Prima is a HOLD
with a target price of RM1.13.

Brokers’ Actions

Resorts World Deutsche keeps HOLD with a lower
target price of RM2.07 (RM2.72
previously).


Genting Deutsche keeps BUY with a lower
target price of RM4.45 (RM5.90
previously).

Oil & Gas Sector
Maybank keeps UNDERWEIGHT on
the sector
.

MISC Citigroup keeps SELL with a lower
target price of RM7.80 (RM8.53
previously).


Public Bank Citigroup keeps SELL with a lower
target price of RM5.77 (RM5.83
previously


KLCC Property HwangDBS keeps BUY with a target
price of RM3.40.


Petra Perdana OSK keeps BUY with a target price of
RM2.13


Malaysian Resources Corp (MRCB)
OSK initiates with a TRADING BUY and
a target price of RM1.14.



􀂉 The Malaysian Institute of Economic Research said a second fiscal stimulus package of RM30bn-RM40bn may help to bolster Malaysia's economy which is at a downward risk.

􀂉 Prices of condominiums in the luxury Kuala Lumpur City Centre enclave could fall as much as 30% as waning demand erodes sellers’ bargaining power to dictate prices, according to real estate consultancy Rahim & Co Chartered Surveyors. (The Edge)

􀂉 PPB Group expects a fall of 10% to 20% in demand for its products, including sugar and flour, due to the current economic downturn that has affected consumer sentiment. (The Edge)

KLSE Announcements

􀂉 Parkson bought back 15k shares at an average price of RM3.36.
Cumulative net outstanding treasury shares are 21.3m.
􀂉 YTL Power announced additional 21.2m shares of RM0.50 each
arising from the exercise of warrants 2000/10 will be granted listing
and quotation with effect from 9.00 a.m., Friday, 6 March 2009.

􀂉 Malaysia’s total public and private debt to GDP currently stands at
141%. 28% or RM245bn of total government and private debt
securities (PDS) are due this year.

􀂉 While BNM has lowered interest rates, yields for PDS remain high. With
expectations for the government to raise RM75bn in debt this year,
firms will have to compete for liquidity at higher borrowing costs.

􀂉 YTL Power, Tanjong and Tenaga turn up on our screen for companies
with low interest coverage ratio and high total debt to EBITDA levels.
These companies also have high net debt/equity ratio and/or refinancing
needs within 1-year. We see potential refinancing difficulties
for these companies given the higher costs of borrowing and more
challenging operating environment ahead.

Debt revisited
Malaysia’s total public and private debt to GDP currently stands at 141%, one of the highest in the Asia-Pacific region. With 28% or RM245bn of total government and private debt securities (PDS) are due this year, we see heightened risks in the credit markets given that the Malaysian government have run a higher fiscal deficit to fund its stimulus plan and encourage spending amid slowing global economic environment.


Market is pricing in higher risks for M’sian debt papers The global economic crisis has heightened risk of credit defaults and capped liquidity of the corporate bond market. Spreads for Malaysia’s sovereign credit default swaps has increased 100bps in the past 3 months while CDS spreads for Maybank, IOI and Telekom Malaysia’s bonds have all spiked up significantly. While we are of view that default risks from sovereign debt are low, there are higher default risks from corporate debt papers given the more difficult operating environment and expectations of earnings contraction in 2009-10. As foreign capital dries up, firms will find it harder to refinance maturing debts or to raise new loans. We have also seen a spate of rating downgrades by rating agencies recently.