富时大马综合指数 2012-05-11
虽然富时大马综合指数周五盘中一度下滑至1572.95点的全日最低，但是却以1584.32点挂收，按日回软3.74点或0.24%。综指目前基本上还是处于盘整格局中。不过如图中箭头A所示，若综指接下来开始下跌的话，届时将会形成较低峰（Lower-highs）。无论如何综指支持落在1566～1570点的水平，阻力维持在1600-1609.33点的水平。
如图中箭头B所示，马股总成交量周五减少20.43%，因此继续处于40天的成交量平均线（VMA）的水平以下。简单来说，马股交投还是淡静，市场人气仍然未达到理想的水平。再加上下跌股项超过上升股项的双倍，暗示着投资者的套利意味还是浓郁。
如图中箭头C所示，随机指标（Stochastic）还是维持在70%水平以上的短期强势区域里，这表综指短期走势还未有转弱的迹象。无论如何，若随机指标跌破30%水平，届时便是综指短期进入弱势区域的讯号。
总的来说，虽然还未明显，但是如图中虚线所示，综指仍然有可能会形成较低峰（Lower-highs）。若综指形成较低峰后再跌破1566～1570点的支持水平，届时便有了形成跌势的完整特征。
FBMKLCI 11 May 2012
Despite having its daily low touching 1572.95 points, the KLCI managed to close at 1584.32 points, losing only 3.74 points or 0.24% on Friday. Basically, the KLCI is still consolidating in its sideways manner. But, as indicated by A, if the KLCI should begin to fall, it would be forming lower-highs. Support for the KLCI is at 1566 – 1570 while the resistance is at 1600-1609.33 points.
As indicated by B, total market volume fell 20.43% on Friday, with volume below the 40-day Volume Moving Average. In short, the market is still quiet amid the lack of positive factors. Meanwhile, with losers more than double of gainers, it suggests that profit taking is still dominating on Friday.
As indicated by C, the Stochastic stays above 70%, suggesting that there is still no sign of any short-term weakness. Nevertheless, if the Stochastic should break below 30%, it would be a signal suggesting the KLCI entering a short-term bearish movement.
Although still unclear, the KLCI could be forming lower-highs, as illustrated by the dotted line. If the KLCI should start falling and breaks below the 1566-1570 support, it would have fulfilled the characteristic of a downtrend formation.
HAPPY TRENDING & GOODLUCK
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