Technical Analysis : 富时大马综合指数 2012-02-16 FBM KLCI

富时大马综合指数
2012-02-16
富时大马综合指数（综指）周四继续下调，按日下跌10.81点或0.69%，以1550.49点挂收。如图中箭头A所示，综指接下来正要试探1530-1540点的支持水平及14、21、31天综合加权移动平均线（Exponential Moving Average – EMA）的动态支持线。

如图箭头B所示，马股总成交量周四减少5.38%，但是还是能达到40天的成交量平均线(VMA)的水平以上。这表示马股当前的交投还是属于活跃的。

如图中箭头C所示，随着综指下调，随机指标（Stochastic）在周四也继续下跌。接下来若随机指标跌破70%水平的话，那综指短期强势的讯号将告一段落。若随机指标随后继续下跌并跌破30%水平的话，那便是综指短期进入弱势格局的讯号。

马股周四套利活动明显增加，全日下跌股项高达668只而上升股项则是239只。虽然综指回软，但是以技术而言，综指当前的涨势仍然还未受到破坏，而目前只是处于技术调整的阶段而已。只要综指还是能在14、21、31天EMA动态支持线上获得扶持的话，那综指的技术展望将还是处于正面的。

FBM KLCI 16 Feb 2012

On Thursday, the KLCI fell 10.81 points or 0.69%, to close at 1550.49 points. As indicated by A, the KLCI is about to test the 1530 – 1540 support, as well as the 14, 21, 31 EMA dynamic support.

As indicated by B, total market volume fell 5.38%, but still above the 40-day volume moving average. This suggests that the market overall is still actively participated.

As indicated by C, the Stochastic is still falling, and if the Stochastic should fall below the 70%, it would mark an end to the short term bullish signal. If the Stochastic should continue to fall and break below 30%, it would be a short-term bearish signal for the KLCI.

The market was in heavy profit taking mood on Thursday, with 668 losers over 239 winners. However, despite the falling of the KLCI, the uptrend of the KLCI remains intact. As long as the KLCI is still staying above the 14, 21, 31 EMA dynamic support, the technical outlook shall remains positive.

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