TECHNICAL ANALYSIS : 综合指数 2011年04月11日 / FBMKLCI 11/04/2011

综合指数 2011年 04月 11日
富时大马综合指数（综指）周一大幅度的下滑，按日一度下跌至1540.67点的最低点，惟在14天的加权移动平均线（EMA）获得扶持后稍微反弹，按日下跌13.49点以1544点挂收。这表示14、21、31天EMA仍然是综指当前的动态支持线。综指阻力水平落在1577点。

如图箭头B所示，马股总成交量周一减少11.92%，而成交量依然达到40天的成交量平均线。接下来要是综指继续下调，而成交量再度减退，那综指将继续处于技术调整的格局或甚至有转弱的可能。

如图中箭头C所示，随机指标（Stochastic）跌破了70%水平，因此这表示综指短期强势的讯号已经告一段落，而是开始了技术调整的格局。接下来若随机指标继续下滑，而跌破30%水平，届时便是综指短期进入弱势的讯号。

总的来说，综指大幅度的下调，使得综指开始进入技术调整的格局，因此短期强势的格局已经结束。不过，综指还未出现转弱或进入跌势的讯号，这是因为综指目前依然获得动态支持线的扶持。要是综指跌破动态支持线，那下一道支持水平将落在1525点的费氏线。

FBM KLCI 11 April 2011
As indicated by A, the FBM KLCI ended sharply lower on Monday, with its daily low of 1540.67, and it managed to rebound slightly after touching the 14-day EMA, ended the day at 1544 points, losing 13.49 points. Currently, the 14, 21, 31 EMA is still serving as the dynamic support to the KLCI. Resistance for the KLCI remains at 1577.

As indicated by B, total market volume fell 11.92%, with volume barely above the 40-day Volume Moving Average. If volume should continue to fall, the KLCI is less likely to pick up its strength.

As indicated by C, the Stochastic fell below 70%, leaving the short term bullish territory. If the Stochastic should fall below 30%, it would be a short term bearish signal for the KLCI.

In short, the KLCI is having its technical correction, but it has not formed any bearish reversal. If the KLCI should fall below the 14, 21, 31 EMA, the next support is seen at 1525.

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