02 Nov 2012 Wall Street Rallys on Job News

GOOD START TO NOVEMBER: The Dow Jones industrial average rose 136.16 points  (+1.04%) on the first day of November, its best gain since mid-September. That came after a loss in October, the first down month since May.

CONFIDENT CONSUMERS: The Conference Board said Americans' confidence in the economy surged last month to the highest level in nearly five years. Many were encouraged by an improving job market.

JOBS NEWS: Investors got a twin dose of good news on the jobs market. Claims for unemployment benefits fell last week, and payroll processor ADP reported that private companies added more jobs last month than economists had been expecting.

HAPPY TRENDING

WALL STREET 20 Oct 2012 >>> Dow Swallows Huge Losses On Bleak Blue-Chip Earnings

Parabolic SAR follows price and can be considered a trend
 following indicator. SAR can act like a trailing stop.
Once an uptrend reverses and starts down, stops
continuously falls as long as the downtrend remains
 in place. The SAR dots have yet to appear at the
Extreme Point (Top) of the above chart.
 

DOW SLAMMED BY WEAK EARNINGS
The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA)  spent the session wallowing in the red, suffering a triple-digit slide and erasing nearly all of its weekly surplus by the close. The (DJIA – 13,343.51)  blazed a steady trail lower today, surrendering 205.43 points, or 1.52%, to pare its weekly gain to just 0.1%. As a result of its worst single-session drop in four months, the blue-chip barometer ended beneath its 50-day moving average for the first time since July 12. Of the Dow's 30 components, only Home Depot (NYSE:HD) bucked the trend, tacking on 0.2%. Of the 29 declining equities, McDonald's (NYSE:MCD) suffered the worst, giving up 4.5% in the wake of disappointing earnings. DJIA had it's weekly surplus shaved to 0.1%.

Likewise, the S&P 500 Index (SPX – 1,433.19) steepened its losses as the session progressed, falling 24.15 points, or 1.66%, before finding a foothold in the 1,430 region. For the week, the SPX edged 0.3% higher. Meanwhile, a batch of lackluster earnings in the tech sector weighed on the Nasdaq Composite (COMP – 3,005.62), which plunged 66.78 points, or 2.17%, to finish at its lowest point since Aug. 6. However, the index maintained its perch atop the round-number 3,000 marker. For the week, the COMP gave up 1.3%.

 

ANALYSTS' QUOTES

 

“And once you get one quarter of negative earnings, it’s a precursor. It’s the cockroach theory: If you find one, there’s probably many more.”

"Today was all about earnings. The reality is we're in the second inning and earnings have stunk. We'd better put our 'rally caps' on and hope earnings come in a lot better next week, or the recent weakness could very well continue."

“We’ve had some household names disappointing on revenue, earnings or guidance. We had about 80 companies reporting this week: financials that did better and technology that did worse. Since this is the worst day we’ve had in months, it reminds us that we haven’t had much volatility or downward pressure since the bottom in June.

“The earnings season is not great right now, but the fundamentals haven’t changed; the U.S. economy is still improving, and it hasn’t gotten worse in Asia or Europe. The market is taking a pause.”

"Poor corporate earnings reports pounded the market today, in a sour end to an otherwise strong week of trading. Disappointing results from three giants of the Dow _ Microsoft, General Electric and McDonald’s _ were to blame. But the broader market fell, too, and the Standard & Poor’s 500 index fared even worse in percentage terms."

HAPPY WEEKEND

DJIA >>> Technical Analysis 15 Oct 2012

A Technical Rebound Overdue

 The Dow closed slightly higher on Friday as it consolidates some of this week's decline. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on Monday. Stochastics and the RSI are bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes below the June-July uptrend line crossing near 13,317 would confirm a trend change has taken place. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 13,497 are needed to confirm that a short-term low has been posted.

 First resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at 13,497.

Second resistance is last Friday's high crossing at 13,661.

First support is today's low crossing at 13,296.

Second support is September's low crossing near 12,977.

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Wall Street Week Ahead: Stock bulls eye Spain, Bernanke and jobs

DJIA goes Down for the Day but Up for the Quarter

Wall Street will open October with a busy week, highlighted by low expectations for global manufacturing data and the U.S. jobs report, but that could set the stage for positive surprises that help lift the market.

The S&P 500 finished its third positive quarter in the last four on Friday, despite suffering its largest weekly percentage decline since June. For the past three months, the S&P 500 gained 5.9 percent - its best third quarter since 2010. In contrast, the index was down 1.3 percent for the week.

The benchmark S&P 500 earlier this month reached its highest level since late 2007. Yet uncertainty remains over whether stocks can hold their gains against the headwinds of a struggling economy. That explains, in part, the retreat over the last several days.

The S&P 500 hit a high of 1,474.51 in mid-September before pulling back by a bit more than 2 percent. A run at 1,500 seems possible, but the flurry of economic and world events ahead probably will prevent a major advance in the coming week.

On Friday, the Dow fell 48.84 points, or 0.36 percent, to 13,437.13. The S.& P. 500 fell 6.48 points, or 0.45 percent, to 1,440.67, and Nasdaq fell 20.37 points, or 0.65 percent, to 3,116.23. For the third quarter, the Dow Jones industrial average rose 4.3 percent and the Nasdaq composite index 6.2 percent.

Despite Friday’s losses, the Standard & Poor’s 500-stock index advanced 5.8 percent over the last three months, mainly on expectations that central banks around the world would take steps to stimulate their economies. That brought the benchmark index’s (SPX}) advance so far this year to 14.6 percent.

 

HAPPY TRENDING

Wall Street Takes Breather After Two-Week Rally

U.S. stocks tally first weekly drop in three
Dow falls 0.1% week-on-week
U.S. stocks on Friday finished nearly unchanged, giving Wall Street its first weekly drop for September.

“After having two explosive weeks to the upside, where the S&P 500 was up 3.5%, it’s a huge victory to come out this week virtually flat in the face of the concerns we have: the Middle East, the fiscal cliff and more bad news than good in the economic data stream,” said a senior equity strategist.
 
“The tug of war between economic fundamentals and central-bank easing is more balanced this week after central banks dominated over the past eight weeks,” noted another as what he termed as a  “glaring market divergence” that has been going on all week culminated Friday with the Dow transportation index DJT -1.03%  breaking to its lowest level since Aug. 2 and to its lowest close since early June.
 

The Dow Jones Industrial Average DJIA -0.13%  fell 17.46 points, or 0.1%, to 13,579.47, leaving it down 0.1% from the week-ago close.

 
ANALYSTIC QUOTES :
 
"Financial stocks are expected to have the best growth rate, compared with large reported losses last year. Earnings for the sector are expected to grow by 9.9%, with American International Group Inc. AIG -0.09% and Goldman Sachs Group Inc. GS +0.21%expected to be the largest contributors."
 
"The outlook  doesn’t bode well for a market that’s at multi-year highs and will soon be facing added volatility as the November elections and the January “fiscal cliff” come closer."
 
"Third-quarter revenue for companies in the S&P 500 is expected to rise by 0.1% from a year ago. Energy company revenues are forecast to fall 16.3% and materials by 2.8%, according to FactSet. Much of that stunted revenue growth comes from weak economies in Europe, less favorable foreign exchange rates, and slowed growth in such emerging markets as China."

"After last week's QE3 announcement and market surge, it was pretty obvious that we were overbought on a short-term basis. Well, we got the breather and the market pretty much grinded sideways each and every day this week. With almost no earnings and little economic data, today's market didn't have too much to digest." 

"The end is finally here and we can finally pull the plug on this comatose week of market action. We are still a couple of weeks away from earnings season, but we may start to see some warnings and pre-announcements coming next week."

 

HAPPY WEEKEND

More Multi-Year Highs for the Dow, SPX as Summertime Rally Continues

08 Sept 2012 Wall Street end the shortened week on a bullish note
U.S. stocks clung to the flatline and stayed near multiyear highs Friday as disappointment over the August jobs report was countered by hopes the gloomy data could give the Federal Reserve further reason to unleash a third round of quantitative easing. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) drifted below breakeven before lunchtime, but battled its way back into the black in the last minutes of trading. With that, the blue-chip barometer secured a respectable return  of 1.65% for the week.

The markets will be laser focused on the Federal Reserve next week, anxiously awaiting word on whether the central bank will initiate another round of economic stimulus.

The Federal Open Markets Committee, which sets most Fed policy, is meeting Wednesday and Thursday and a statement is due at the end of the second day. Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke will hold a press conference Thursday afternoon.

Stock markets are all hoping for another round of quantitative easing, in which the Fed buys      U.S. securities in an effort to goose the stumbling U.S. economy. Friday’s dismal labor report which revealed that just 96,000 jobs were created in August only boosted hopes among investors for QE III.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI – 13,306.64) was rather flat all session long, but found itself up 14.6 points, or 0.1%, by the closing bell. The Dow posted its best daily settlement since December 2007. Half of the 30 components slipped into negative territory, with Kraft Foods Inc's (NASDAQ:KFT) 5.5% loss pacing the laggards. On the other hand, the 15 outperformers were led higher by Bank of America's (NYSE:BAC) 5.4% gain. During the holiday-shortened week, the Dow enjoyed a 1.65% rise.

 

Adding 5.8 points, or 0.4%, the S&P 500 Index (SPX – 1,437.92) prolonged its stay in the black today and closed at a fresh four-year high. Plus, the SPX marked its best daily close since January 2008. For the week, the broad-market index climbed 2.2%.

 

The Nasdaq Composite (COMP – 3,136.42) enjoyed another multi-year high run, touching 3,139.61 in intraday action -- its loftiest price since mid-November 2000. And after the dust cleared, the tech-rich barometer eked out a fractional win. The COMP turned in the best weekly performance of its peers, rallying 2.3%.

For every stock sliding in New York Friday, more than two gained on the New York StockExchange, where nearly 680 million shares had traded. Composite volume reached 3.7 billion.

 

HAPPY WEEKEND

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