FBM KLCI Futures Preview, Technical Analysis 11 July 2013

Preview

Expect futures to trend higher today despite minimal gains in the US market overnight as local sentiments may look towards bullish signals due to encouraging announcement by the Federal Reserve Chairman.

Bernanke’s comments that the Feds will continue its bond buying activities up till the labour market show significance improvement may correlate easing concern of a slowdown in growth in the world biggest economist.

Back home, FBMKLCI gained 0.13 percent to settle at 1768.71. The index traded range bound with an upward bias for most part of the day as sentiments borrowed strength from gains in the US, spurred by better expectations of earning results. Adversely, the upside potential was limited as investors factored in weak external trade data from China, which was made available on the second half of the trading session.

Leading leaders of the index were a mixture of gaming, plantation and telecommunication counters namely Genting, IOI and Maxis. Futures still maintain trading at a premium of approximately 1.5 points from its underlying cash market.

Technicals

Futures settled on a positive note with gains of 0.06 percent to close the day at 1770. Trading was depicted in the formation of a short bodied black candle signalling that sellers managed to outpace buyers for most part of the day. Sentiments remained generally bullish as prices still remains supported at its 20 and 50 day moving averages.

Prices may open lower but if prices managed to break above its 1770 in early morning trades, investors may opt to go long taking advantage of an upward movement in prices. As such support and resistance can be pegged at 1765 and 1780 respectively.

Intraday Strategy

Trade may long with a stop on or below 1760.

FBM KLCI Futures >>> Daily Preview, Technical Analysis

Preview

 Expect futures to trade range bound with an upward bias in tandem with rising Asian and European markets after European policy makers communicated that they will maintain interest rates at a record low for an extended period of time to stimulate further growth. US market was closed last night in conjunction with the Independence Day holiday. Jobless claims figures due to release later tonight will be closely watched for indication of economic strength.

In the local front, FBM KLCI gained 0.12 points to settle at 1771.34. The local index managed to post some gains in tandem with advances in most global markets, albeit lackluster trades.

Leading leaders were stocks from the plantation and banking industries, namely Kuala Lumpur Kepong, IOI Corp, CIMB, Maybank, Public Bank, and Hong Leong Bank. Futures now trade at a further premium of approximately 4 points away its underlying cash index.

Technicals
Futures prices hiked 0.31 percent to close at 1775.50. Trading activities formed a white spinning top, a depiction of indecisiveness amongst investors. Regardless, prices still managed to close firmly above its 20, 50, and 100 day moving averages, which imply that strength was still in tact. Hence, expect prices to further its bullish movement today as MACD indicator pointed towards a buy strategy as well.

Support and resistance can be eyed at 1765 and 1785 respectively.

Strategy

Traders may long with a stop on or below 1765.

ZLBT's Random Stock Picks >>> 20 x Upper Bollinger Breakout Stocks

*Note: To qualify in the breakout list below, the first sorting criteria is stock price must close ABOVE the upper Bollinger Band, followed by a second criteria that trading volume for the day must be significantly higher than the 20-day average volume, which signal a bullish breakout. 

Caveat: We would caution momentum traders that a highly overbought 14-day RSI reading (> 80) and share price pullback BELOW the upper Bollinger Band are early warning signals to exit buy breakout trades.

DISCLAIMER

The information contained herein was obtained from sources believed to be reliable. However, we do not guarantee the accuracy and completeness of the report. Opinions expressed herein are subject to change without notice. This report is for information purposes only and should not be construed as an invitation, offer or solicitation to purchase or sell any futures product referred to herein. The Author may from time to time has an interest or position in the futures products or stocks mentioned. There is a risk of loss in trading stocks, futures & derivatives like products.

 

GOOD LUCK 

Lower liners on the move ...... The FBM Small Cap Daily Chart 08 Jan 2013

LITTLE FELLAS MAKING BIG MOVES

In stark contrast to the FBM KLCI related bluechips, we are seeing a notable shift to second-third liners as investors adopt a 'risk on' approach to investing in the local bourse. As a guage, the FBM Small Cap (which comprises of the top 98% of the Bursa Malaysia Main Board) has advanced over 500 points from its 11,1361.30 low in December.

Yesterday, the FBM Small Cap rose 1.5% or 183.68 points to settle at 11,920.19. In fact, the broad market index broke above the crucial down-trend resistance, and we believe that a major bullish reversal may be at hand. Trading volumes have also picked up in recent days, while the MACD is indicative of a gradual shift in momentum from bearish to bullish. To that respect, we believe improved broad market sentiment should be a boon for small cap traders in the days and weeks to come.

GOODLUCK

Top 20 Overbought Stocks 24 Dec 2012

*Note: The list below is the 20 most overbought of the 1000 over Bursa Malaysia listed stocks with 14-day RSI above 80. It is generally a bearish or SELL list, especially if the readings approach 90.

 

Caveat: The list consists of fundamentally sound stocks, and hence are long-term BUY or HOLD stocks.

DISCLAIMER

The information contained herein was obtained from sources believed to be reliable. However, we do not guarantee the accuracy and completeness of the report. Opinions expressed herein are subject to change without notice. This report is for information purposes only and should not be construed as an invitation, offer or solicitation to purchase or sell any futures product referred to herein. The Author may from time to time has an interest or position in the futures products or stocks mentioned. There is a risk of loss in trading stocks,futures & derivatives like products.

 

GOODLUCK

20 x Lower Bollinger Band Stocks 4ur Perusal 10 July 2012

*Note: As for the top 20 breakdown list below, the sole sorting criteria is stock price must close significantly BELOW the lower Bollinger Band, with the largest distance from the lower band at the top of the table, signaling a severe sell-off which is bearish.

Caveat: A stock should bottom out if share price moves ABOVE the falling lower Bollinger Band, which can be a good buy signal for technical rebound upside after the sharp sell-off.

DISCLAIMER

The information contained herein was obtained from sources believed to be reliable. However, we do not guarantee the accuracy and completeness of the report. Opinions expressed herein are subject to change without notice. This report is for information purposes only and should not be construed as an invitation, offer or solicitation to purchase or sell any futures product referred to herein. The Author may from time to time has an interest or position in the futures products or stocks mentioned. There is a risk of loss in trading stocks,futures & derivatives like products.

 

HAPPY TRADING